weatherCCB Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 33/31 steady snow, grass caving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 33 and flurries...non event here in New Market. Looking forward to seeing the pics and reports from south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mordecai Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 33/33 light snow grassy surfaces and cars covered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Just goes to show how much timing means with weather. We don’t need the trifecta +PNA -AO -NAO setup to score Timing is always big. We don't need or even want a super positive PNA though for a big snowstorm. The more important trifecta is the one that produces +heights straight across the HL region to our north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Meh just sleet here. Wish it would change over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Over 3” inches now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, joc111 said: Let’s go!!!! Hoco is in there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Pavement beginning to cave moving towards +SN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Snowchaser said: Over 3” inches now. Charlottesville? Radar looks JUICED there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Driveway starting to cave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, joc111 said: Mesoscale Discussion 0028 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0413 AM CST Mon Jan 03 2022 Areas affected...Parts of southwest through northern Virginia and central Maryland Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 031013Z - 031415Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates around 1-2 inches per hour and occasionally greater appear increasingly possible along and to the east of the Virginia Blue Ridge Mountains, into the Greater Washington D.C. and Baltimore Metropolitan areas, through 7-10 AM EST. DISCUSSION...Precipitation rates have increased along a frontal zone north through north-northeast of a deepening surface cyclone center across the South Carolina Piedmont. Although temperatures near the surface and in layers aloft are generally still warm to the east of the Appalachians, across much of the southern Mid Atlantic, a combination of strengthening mid/upper forcing for ascent and gradual low-level cold advection on northerly surface flow is likely to contribute to profiles increasingly conducive to snow. Surface temperatures are already approaching freezing across much of the Greater Baltimore and Washington D.C. metro areas into the immediate lee of the Blue Ridge, where strengthening mid-level frontogenetic forcing for ascent appears likely to become focused, beneath an intensifying divergent flow field between coupled upper jets. Forecast soundings suggest that lift will become increasingly maximized within the dendritic growth layer through 12-15Z, in the presence of seasonably high moisture content (including precipitable water on the order of .75-1.0 inches) supportive of 1-2 inch per hour snow rates, and perhaps occasionally heavier. ..Kerr.. 01/03/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...MRX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, jayyy said: Charlottesville? Radar looks JUICED there right now. I’m up at wintergreen for this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 32 with steady light snow here. Getting fringed by the nice band just to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Timing is always big. We don't need or even want a super positive PNA though for a big snowstorm. The more important trifecta is the one that produces +heights straight across the HL region to our north. Big facts! Hoping we’re able to squeeze one or two of those ideal setups in during this niña winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 We’ve been under a steady moderate snow here for a while now. A lot of the heaviest moisture is to my south and east, drying up some of the moisture as bands move up this way. Expecting the area of best lift to continue to march NE over the coming hours. Meso analysis sounds pretty spot on. 7a-10am should be prime time for the Baltimore metro. Could see 4-6” in that small window 32* snow - Ellicott city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Mesoscale Discussion 0028 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0413 AM CST Mon Jan 03 2022 Areas affected...Parts of southwest through northern Virginia and central Maryland Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 031013Z - 031415Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates around 1-2 inches per hour and occasionally greater appear increasingly possible along and to the east of the Virginia Blue Ridge Mountains, into the Greater Washington D.C. and Baltimore Metropolitan areas, through 7-10 AM EST. DISCUSSION...Precipitation rates have increased along a frontal zone north through north-northeast of a deepening surface cyclone center across the South Carolina Piedmont. Although temperatures near the surface and in layers aloft are generally still warm to the east of the Appalachians, across much of the southern Mid Atlantic, a combination of strengthening mid/upper forcing for ascent and gradual low-level cold advection on northerly surface flow is likely to contribute to profiles increasingly conducive to snow. Surface temperatures are already approaching freezing across much of the Greater Baltimore and Washington D.C. metro areas into the immediate lee of the Blue Ridge, where strengthening mid-level frontogenetic forcing for ascent appears likely to become focused, beneath an intensifying divergent flow field between coupled upper jets. Forecast soundings suggest that lift will become increasingly maximized within the dendritic growth layer through 12-15Z, in the presence of seasonably high moisture content (including precipitable water on the order of .75-1.0 inches) supportive of 1-2 inch per hour snow rates, and perhaps occasionally heavier. ..Kerr.. 01/03/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...MRX... I love it when SPC talks nerdy to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baldereagle Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: 32 with steady light snow here. Getting fringed by the nice band just to my north. It’s of a Portland cement nature and heavy so heavy amounts could damage trees and shrubs. Obviously hope it attains more ratio but it’s coming down hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 If I stare hard enough at the porch will the snow stop melting? 33.5/32.5 SN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Going to set an alarm for 7 am and attempt to sleep for a bit before the heavy stuff arrives. Should be knocking on Baltimore and it’s suburbs door at that time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Any ideas on what time the changeover will happen in RIC? Little sad but unsurprised to see things trended worse for us overnight. This really is the worst city in the region for snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Coming down nicely out in the winchester area. Reports of thundersnow down around Staunton. Thank God the NAM was full of crap. All hail the new GFS. Snow 31 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Down to 30 here at 900' elevation. Snowing steadily. Starting to notice snow blowing off the roof. Looking like a snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baldereagle Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Tip o’ the hat to the CAPE storm? Hell yeah!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, jayyy said: Charlottesville? Radar looks JUICED there right now. We've got about a half inch here in town now. Moderate SN at the moment. 31/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 34 and still a sleet/rain mix in Easton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 We have hit freezing in Centreville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Bouncing between 33 and 32. Steady snow on the edge of the band through the district. Looks like a quarter to half inch. Woo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Finally the rain/sleet mix has changed to snow here between Waldorf and La Plata. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Amazing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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