Rhino16 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Morning. 40° here, still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Grass starting to get that telltale whitish hue under the band here. Temp down to 34F. As far as DC snowstorms go, this is not a bad start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Was planning on sleeping till 6 but by body woke me up in time to experience an awesome snow band. Weenie body for the win wakes me during snow bands. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, snjókoma said: Grass starting to get that telltale whitish hue under the band here. Temp down to 34F. As far as DC snowstorms go, this is not a bad start. Dc is about to see its best snowfall in multiple winters I reckon. Route 50 is ground zero for this bad boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, jayyy said: As far as wasted QPF before the changeover is concerned…. We actually did alright in that department. Saw very minimal qpf in central md and the all snow line is knocking on our door step. Radar is insanely juicy to the S/SW. The issue for us is the speed of the storm. It’ll be a very quick hitter Do you have exact numbers? It’s been raining to beat the band outside so I’d be very hard pressed to see less than .3 or .4 wasted. That’s a lot. And yes, being a quick hitter is equally important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I know many like to ride models til the wheels fall off, even as the storm is overhead, but I am actually excited by what I’m seeing on the radar and WV loop. Pretty classic look for a mid Atlantic I-95 special. The main precip shield, to me, seems a bit north the more I look at it. Reports of thunder snow and 6-8” of snowfall in AL, TN and NW GA. Can only bode well for us up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 All snow now in Petworth NW DC. Temp 35 and dipping steadily. Expecting roads to start caving in an hour or so 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 34.7/32.9 Temperatures continuing to crash and visibility is well under 1.5 miles, as the Washington Monument – or even its lighting scheme – is no longer visible from my vantage point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4am-36.6 and snow started mixing in at 3:45 and has taken over and cars topped ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MetalCapsFan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 36/31 w/ steady snow here in B'more City, some rain and pingers to start out earlier, but full changeover in the last 30 mins, cartopping action in progress! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Do you have exact numbers? It’s been raining to beat the band outside so I’d be very hard pressed to see less than .3 or .4 wasted. That’s a lot. And yes, being a quick hitter is equally important. Haven’t seen .3-.4 worth of qpf here in Ellicott city at least. It rained fairly lightly over the last few hours. Many models accounted for this period of rain / slop Idk. I’m looking at a radar in which the SW edge of precip is back in Atlanta and we are already all snow. It’s fast moving but nearly all of that precip is heavy. man, if only we had something to slow this storm down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Been straight up light/moderate snow in the Northeast corner of Baltimore City since about 3:30. Cold surfaces have a coating. Pavement not caving yet. Just nice to watch the snow fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4:40 and heavy snow at 1”ph but cant accumulate that fast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 50/50 snow and sleet ... no accumulation yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Rolled over and was sure it would be 39 degrees and pouring rain. But it’s dumping out already. 33 and moderate snow in Takoma park. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, WEATHER53 said: 4:40 and heavy snow at 1”ph but cant accumulate that fast Beautiful band over your area. Shellacked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Hrrr has the precip shield collapsing through Central Maryland down to almost DC in the next few hours as dry air pushes in... Only to build back a bit. Will be interesting to see if that plays out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 34 with a light coating of wet snow at 430 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, peribonca said: Hrrr has the precip shield collapsing through Central Maryland down to almost DC in the next few hours as dry air pushes in... Only to build back a bit. Will be interesting to see if that plays out We would get dry slotted wouldn’t we Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Updated forecast here is 8-12" with a mention of locally higher amounts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 A thing of beauty. Hard to imagine the precip shield falling apart. Should get slugged between 7a-1p 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 About 2” inches so far at my Airbnb at wintergreen. Snow is sticking to everything! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Updated forecast here is 8-12" with a mention of locally higher amounts. Definitely see that based on latest trends. Someone out your way into Delaware and southern jersey is going to jackpot above 12”. 2-3” per hour rates coming for that area. Going to be some sweet mesos forming east of dc later on this morning If this wasn’t such a quick mover, I’d say 12” was possible area wide bear i-95. Shame but it will be a fun morning nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Fox5 just said report of TSSN in/near CHO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 As I'm not sure what to expect as the morning progresses in Baltimore, I'm going to go out for a walk right now and enjoy this moment. First real snowfall of the winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 It's a shame this band isn't all snow. Sleet/snow mix, mostly sleet right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Ephesians2 said: It's a shame this band isn't all snow. Sleet/snow mix, mostly sleet right now Looks like it’s all snow in DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Nice discussion from Mount Holly. Mention of blizzard conditions for coastal DE. Spectacular satellite imagery over the East this morning as a strong area of low pressure comes together to our southwest. Just a classic eastern US winter storm presentation. A blossoming shield of precipitation is now overspreading the local area. A major winter storm will affect southern portions of the area over the next 18 hours. The main change to the forecast overnight was an increase in QPF, and by association, snowfall, for areas previously within and that were just north of the previous Winter Storm Warning. The QPF increase is almost unanimously supported by the last two cycles of global and hi res guidance, and translates to an increase in snow totals. The most difficult portion of the forecast remains the northward extent of precipitation shield. Even many of the recent model runs which increased QPF across the south generally didn`t move the precipitation shield north much. The latest blend does bring amounts up somewhat in the I-95 corridor. However, there is likely to be an exceptionally sharp northern cutoff to accumulating snow, probably even sharper than the latest forecast, which as it is has a much sharper than normal gradient. Even across, for example, Philadelphia County, it would not be surprising to see a significant difference in totals. And for northern portions of the area, it will simply be a cloudy and cold day with perhaps some flurries. Confidence in snowfall is much greater for southern areas. It is clear now that a swath of heavy precipitation will overspread the region. Extreme frontogenetic forcing is allowing precipitation to expand in coverage and intensity to our southwest, and this will only continue today. While precipitation is beginning as rain in some places, temperatures are continuing to cool behind yesterday`s front, and a flip to snow will occur. One possible exception is far southeast Delaware, where rain or mix could hold on for longer. Amounts were reduced a bit there. Otherwise, a large stripe of 8 to 12 inches of snow is now forecast, and can`t rule out some localized amounts a little over 12 inches. Snowfall to our southwest has generally been over-performing, and this trend could continue into our area. Snowfall rates could easily exceed 1 inch per hour at times this morning, perhaps 2 inches per hour. While snow ratios overall will be less than 10:1, these rates will quickly overwhelm the warm ground conditions left by recent near record warmth. These snowfall rates could persist for several hours this morning and early afternoon. Banding features are certainly possible within the heavy snow shield, leading to some local variations. Eventually, precipitation will end from west to east late this afternoon and this evening as the area of low pressure moves out to sea. Northeast winds will become strong near the coast today, gusting in the 30 to 40 mph range for several hours. With heavy snow occurring through this period, a period of near blizzard conditions is possible for areas such as Sussex County DE and portions of Cape May and Atlantic Counties. A Blizzard Warning was contemplated, but am not confident enough in criteria being met for more than brief periods. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 33.8/32.3 SN Visibility now well under a mile based on downtown landmarks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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