Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 DT is about to gift us with his last call map. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I’m at least 4-5 hours away from precip judging by radar. Could begin as all snow depending on how fast the cold can get here. Probably not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 For those interested, it's my first time making a cross-section plot of the frontogenesis, which is highly aligned with upward vertical velocity. The cross-section here goes through the cold air damming zone and snowstorm. You can see the chunk of cold air sitting just east of the Appalachians, with a small zone of temeperature inversion. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 ICON says what storm I know it's not great all the time but wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Chinook said: For those interested, it's my first time making a cross-section plot of the frontogenesis, which is highly aligned with upward vertical velocity. The cross-section here goes through the cold air damming zone and snowstorm. You can see the chunk of cold air sitting just east of the Appalachians, with a small zone of temeperature inversion. Super cool! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: This forum got slow quick. Must be a lot of disappointed folks getting ready for work tomorrow. can we get this guy out of here? 8 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 33 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I mean it’s still 48 in DC and we’re a few hours from onset of precipitation…have to believe a few hours is wasted due to warm antecedent conditions. Hard to buy the 12”+ solutions. But it should still be impressive for 4 to 6 hours particularly like 8am to 1pm in my opinion Falling temps post 8am in heavy snow is unique and I remember 2010 Snowmaggedon morning it did that in blizzard like fashion 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: DT is about to gift us with his last call map. Oh damn. Read that real fast and thought it said his last call crap. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 both work 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 one of the things that concerns me a bit up here (and this is non emo; trying to be science based) is the nw wind and subsequent dry air. not only would i imagine that being part of the reason for the cutoff, but i can't recall too many storms that arrived right on the heels of a cold front (and it's still a little breezy out there). whatever happens, it's an interesting setup to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 36 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Somebody in my regional sub mentioned this storm, so I decided to check it out. Is there a reason why the NWS is being conservative with amounts across the area? It isn't just one spot, it seems like it is across the board. The models look pretty impressive. Going to rain a bit but once snow gets to moderate it will be 0.5 to 1”ph for 4-6 hours and accumulate. Does Harry post in your sub? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 43/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 39/33Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 43/36 and getting breezy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, CntrTim85 said: I said this earlier and got burned at the stake. Dry air will destroy the back edge of this thing. It already happened in Tuscaloosa, AL tonight. Combine that with temps and possible rain/sleet and the bust potential is HIGH. it's a valid concern, but you don't want to speak in absolutes on a board where people are feening for snow. with that said, i always felt i95 was in a better spot for this...mostly because that's what the models have predominantly shown lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: I said this earlier and got burned at the stake. Dry air will destroy the back edge of this thing. It already happened in Tuscaloosa, AL tonight. Combine that with temps and possible rain/sleet and the bust potential is HIGH. It’s never terrible to hear the skeptics voice. But if you bust then people won’t listen anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Fast 1-3 inches and out by lunch time? Just going too fast to do very much. Might be heavy snow for a few minutes though. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: I said this earlier and got burned at the stake. Dry air will destroy the back edge of this thing. It already happened in Tuscaloosa, AL tonight. Combine that with temps and possible rain/sleet and the bust potential is HIGH. How's the event holding up for you in Chesapeake? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 A little light rain in Montclair. Radar trying to fill in. 45/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 HRRR has 1”+/hour rates tomorrow morning in DC from basically 6a to noon before gradually tapering off. Definition of hot and heavy for several hours. Fun stuff! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 seeing some returns showing up on cod. not sure if that's virga, but it's a good sign. interesting system, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Fast 1-3 inches and out by lunch time? Just going too fast to do very much. Might be heavy snow for a few minutes though. Oh boy. When Roger Smith poo poo’s something we are screwed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Fast 1-3 inches and out by lunch time? Just going too fast to do very much. Might be heavy snow for a few minutes though. Roger that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 #AFRS - Always fade Roger Smith 39/33 midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: Fast 1-3 inches and out by lunch time? Just going too fast to do very much. Might be heavy snow for a few minutes though. I was expecting another 24 inch prediction from you like last year. Gotta be a good thing he thinks we won’t get much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, 87storms said: seeing some returns showing up on cod. not sure if that's virga, but it's a good sign. interesting system, that's for sure. Plain rain in Bethesda. Maybe this band of precip is where the jack will set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12 midnight ob pretty special because 44.5 but some sleet is mixed in with rain shower. Impressive cold up top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, CntrTim85 said: I'm in Corolla til' next week. Chesapeake should get an inch or so. Will sure look nice for them! Chesapeake has almost gotten more snow than you over recent years! Good luck! LOL Coastal flood warning for Chesapeake. Hope you don’t live near any low lying areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Radar made a fool of my last post. Rain already moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, CntrTim85 said: I'm in Corolla til' next week. Chesapeake should get an inch or so. Will sure look nice for them! Chesapeake has almost gotten more snow than you over recent years! Good luck! LOL lol i'm sure they have. Thank you for making snow measuring a competitive sport! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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