WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Oh. Well my office is in Chesapeake. Looks like I'm back in the Mid-Atlantic! Chesapeake has a good snow climate 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Clueless said: Need to tighten up the thread moderators. Nah, more fun. That’s why we do this, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 MCPS closed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see. Yes we definitely see this movie a lot, especially with juicy systems coming up from the gulf coast states. The 2016 blizzard was not expected to hit Somerset-Allentown-NYC as hard as it did. I can easily see this band setting up over I95 or MOCO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Oh. Well my office is in Chesapeake. Looks like I'm back in the Mid-Atlantic! Welcome back! *back on topic* This has been a rollercoaster of emotions. 61/61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, ErinInTheSky said: MCPS closed! As Fairfax goes, so too does the rest of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: First time I looked but NY City weenies are sweating the cutoff as well. Big time and they have every reason to. The whole sub-forum is going to chase on Long Beach or Fire Island. That's a very tricky forecast up there as well. I could see the South Shore of Long Island getting a few inches but that's it. I bet you do ok being colder up top and at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 The HRRR has gradually improved out here. Yes, I have no shame 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Winchester averages 18" of snow a year. Why are you so upset? We average a bit more than that. Although sometimes I wonder how, because it seems like we are often in the cutoff zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 39 minutes ago, snowfan said: Euro has more of a SW to NE orientation along 95 wrt to snowfall. Better for locales NE of Baltimore. Good catch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, tim123 said: How about for later week storm? Not on the 18z run friend. And wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Discuss SEVA climo history in another thread. Nobody wants to read that here. Not a single person. 13 6 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Nah, more fun. That’s why we do this, right? If this were something we were tracking for awhile then this would be storm mode. It’s not in this case but still a bunch of BS that adds nothing to the discussion. Except for your posts….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 51f dew 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 55/51 Charlottesville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, SnowLover22 said: My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches? 4-8” seems reasonable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, SnowLover22 said: My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches? Tell him 5 inches. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowLover22 said: My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches? I would expect right around that amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 HRRR is finally catching on.. SREF plume did go up rather substantial member wide even the bullish ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches? Whatever Mother Nature decides he needs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, Ravens94 said: HRRR is finally catching on.. SREF plume did go up rather substantial member wide even the bullish ARW This is the 15Z SREF plume you're talking about, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 HoCo schools closed Kids dancing Wife facepalming 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Hoco schools closed tomorrow. My wife doing a little dance now. Good times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Can somebody link me to the sref plumes. Tried the link I have but it doesn’t work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 27 minutes ago, ovechkin said: 50/41 in Wheaton. I think the last time I anxiously awaited this huge a temp drop was March 1993. Storm of the Century (aka my daughter's 2nd birthday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 Interesting WPC experimental product 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Never mind. I got it working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Can somebody link me to the sref plumes. Tried the link I have but it doesn’t work https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 50/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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