nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 18z Euro - Not a huge difference, but is a tough call for WV panhandle thru Westminster which did better at 12z For visual purposes. 9 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, southmdwatcher said: SREF's.....Wth is that shift? I think most say the SREFS are even worse than the NAM, but yes, better than 15Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 18z Euro - Not a huge difference, but is a tough call for WV panhandle thru Westminster which did better at 12z In downtown for this one right? IIRC, you spent time in the WV panhandle last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: For visual purposes. I'll alow it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Pretty similar forecast for DC on 18z GFS/EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Euro has more of a SW to NE orientation along 95 wrt to snowfall. Better for locales NE of Baltimore. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 WB 18Z EURO v. 12Z very close 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Model runs today have given my yard nothing to be scared about, I look to be in prime position (for once). Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Anybody know what the bread o meter is saying? Ask the dude from NE NC. He seems to know. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO v. 12Z very close Noise - glad it held. Now I can go to bed in peace before the 0z runs. If it rug pulled us…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 18z Euro - Not a huge difference, but is a tough call for WV panhandle thru Westminster which did better at 12z Are you back downtown? Not still out in WV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I believe Mr. Ian or someone else provided this satellite/radar link which is good…https://weather.cod.edu 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see. 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just came in from working outside most of the afternoon. About 1800 a breeze came through with a noticeable drop in temp. Asphalt started drying out almost immediately for the first time today. Temp has dropped about 10F in 90 mins and the dp is noticeably drier, as expected (dp down to 47 here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I think most say the SREFS are even worse than the NAM, but yes, better than 15Z. That’s wasn’t the whole SREFS was it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 645am departure from BWI tomorrow - will things be kicking up that way by then? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I believe Mr. Ian or someone else provided this satellite/radar link which is good…https://weather.cod.edu Odd angle to try to tell. But looks like it is starting to go slightly negative? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I believe Mr. Ian or someone else provided this satellite/radar link which is good…https://weather.cod.edu Gorgeous, thanks. It looks like its taking on a negative tilt? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO v. 12Z very close That cutoff is insane 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Temp dropping quickly. Down 9 degrees from no more than 90 min ago. 54.1/50.4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 32 in Frostburg 38 in Cumberland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see. I will never be over March 09. That cutoff was ridiculous. 4” or so in Leesburg, at the line with Clarke Co absolutely nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO v. 12Z very close It's close but definitely reversed the NW trend. Not what we wanted to see out this way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 54 minutes ago, Scraff said: Cult Classic? Noooo. It all tastes like tin can. Ten Eyck my jam. You in a great spot. Enjoy YOUR storm. Good stuff. CC is not bad, and it's right down the street from the park. I like the UFO NE DIPA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Can you tell when the front went through? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Check the SREF's. They can still save you! Dude you might as well be living in the Bahama's when it comes to comparing yourself to my climo. Go away troll. 2 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: WeatherNation has the most bullish forecast I've seen. A zone of 12''-24''. Madness. I have no idea how they have their own network! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 12-24'' Washington. WeatherNation said so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, CntrTim85 said: You average 13" more of snow than me a year. Which has not even been close over the past 5 years. And I get to live a 20 minute drive from the ocean. I win. He averages about 35” a year. You average 22? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: Gorgeous, thanks. It looks like its taking on a negative tilt? Yes. I was looking at that from PSU’s discussion earlier today. I wish I understood better how to figure out how far north the precip shield will go. I mean 20-50 miles, which is hardly anything, will make a huge difference. I did not put out my heat mats so I expect a northern shift at 0Z…. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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