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January 3, 2022 CAPE Storm Obs/Nowcast


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Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. 

We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see.

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2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Obviously models are converging on a SE of 95 jack and really nasty cutoff but I swear I've seen this movie 30 times. Maybe the SE does get the qpf/fronto jack... but will that cutoff verify? My gut says 6" from somewhere around HGR eastward. 

We had some cold Pacman events 2014&15 but the cold dry air eating the NW periphery was legit. Teens and single digits nearby legit. This setup is different. We'll see.

I will never be over March 09. That cutoff was ridiculous. 4” or so in Leesburg, at the line with Clarke Co absolutely nothing.

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