Interstate Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 RAP is starting to coming around 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, peribonca said: With the winds and the rates does anyone think we can get into a blizzard warning DC/south? No. Temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Dew points starting to tank. 40s marching towards the DC Beltway. 30s approaching Winchester. LFG 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Not a weenie post, genuine intrigue: wonder what, if any impact the warmer than usual ocean water might have on the storm (death band, more juice to work with, etc.). Hope i my creates a band right down 81 with rates of about 6” per Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: For anyone who cares HRRR is further north with the precip sheild with latest run than 18z. I care. Thank u friend 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Not a weenie post, genuine intrigue: wonder what, if any impact the warmer than usual ocean water might have on the storm (death band, more juice to work with, etc.). A lot of this is known, but here's a CWG article that supports the idea. "Ken Kunkel, a senior scientist with the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, has been studying shifting extreme-precipitation trends in the United States for more than 20 years. A study he led in 2009 found an increasing trend of high snowfall seasons along the East Coast, as well as the emergence of a feast or famine pattern, where winters either over-deliver snow or underperform relative to the seasonal average. He said the physics involved in generating heavy snow suggest that climate change could be a factor in recent heavy snowstorms, given that the biggest snowfalls tend to occur when the air is near freezing, which enables the air to hold more moisture. A complicating factor, though, is that increasing air temperatures may be making what would’ve been a snowstorm 20 years ago into a cold rainstorm. Increasing sea-surface temperatures, Kunkel said, are boosting the snow potential of East Coast storms. “The oceans have been warming overall,” he said. “These storms are deriving their moisture from the Atlantic and more moisture is being brought into these storms. That certainly is a big component of it.”" https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/02/05/snowfall-records-climate-change-northeast/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: 40s marching towards the DC Beltway. 30s approaching Winchester. LFG 4 degrees last hour on temp and dew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just closed my windows in Haymarket, winds beginning to shift 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: No. Temps. I don’t think temp is a criteria any more… A Blizzard Warning indicates that blizzard conditions (low visibility of less than 1/4 mile due to falling and/or blowing snow, and winds at least 35 mph) are expected for at least 3 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, peribonca said: With the winds and the rates does anyone think we can get into a blizzard warning DC/south? No. Seems highly unlikely given the three hour component. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Someone in southern Md, the northern neck, etc should be ripping tomorrow morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: No. Seems highly unlikely given the three hour component. Take your foot and be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Been out enjoying the Spring-like day. Lots of people out at Terrapin. Stopped and had a flight at Cult Classic. So what did I miss? Obsessions over bumps north? south? Snow-eating mud concerns? Forecast here is 4-8". Seems about right. 58 here. Defo feels like snow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, snowfan said: Someone in southern Md, the northern neck, etc should be ripping tomorrow morning. I'd definitely take that. One theme has been intense banding showing up. But ofc, if there's intense mesoscale lift, there will be mesoscale subsidence nearby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, Interstate said: RAP is starting to coming around HRDPS also looks just slightly north of 12z, which makes a big difference for many of us. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Ok one warning for y'all. Don't make crappy posts like that one that's now gone 9 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, H2O said: Ok one warning for y'all. Don't make crappy posts like that one that's now gone I'm expecting liberal amounts of snow here in eastern MoCo. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Temp plummeting here. 8 degrees last 100 minutes. We’ll be below zero by the time Yellowstone ends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: Ok one warning for y'all. Don't make crappy posts like that one that's now gone Can you not be so fast? I never get to see these posts!! 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Can you not be so fast? I never get to see these posts!! Loudon county schools are closed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Interstate said: Yeah but when you get 1-2 inches and 30 miles south gets 12+ is hard to take sometimes. There's some lecture in there about knowing your Climo and putting your house up for sale to move to a snowier Climo but I totally understand and feel your pain. It totally sucks. Sometimes youre the fly and sometimes youre the windshield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 What’s the ETA on the 18z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Thanatos_I_Am said: What’s the ETA on the 18z Euro? Was just searching for it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HRPDRPRPS 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, IronTy said: There's some lecture in there about knowing your Climo and putting your house up for sale to move to a snowier Climo but I totally understand and feel your pain. It totally sucks. Sometimes youre the fly and sometimes youre the windshield. Like how I moved from Prince Frederick to South of Hanover, PA last year? Hope SOMD gets what they deserve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Temp plummeting here. 8 degrees last 100 minutes. We’ll be below zero by the time Yellowstone ends. Do you have a sunshield to keep temps close to absolute zero? Local Climo would improve if you had that. JWT is a good place to start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: Been out enjoying the Spring-like day. Lots of people out at Terrapin. Stopped and had a flight at Cult Classic. So what did I miss? Obsessions over bumps north? south? Snow-eating mud concerns? Forecast here is 4-8". Seems about right. 58 here. Defo feels like snow. Cult Classic? Noooo. It all tastes like tin can. Ten Eyck my jam. You in a great spot. Enjoy YOUR storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 54/41 in Jarrettsville. Wind stirring up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 36 minutes ago, H2O said: For @mattie g FCPS closed tomorrow We got the text. Happy it’s happening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just took out some recycling and the winds were ripping. Maybe that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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