hudsonvalley21 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 55 minutes ago, wdrag said: 12z/10 HRRR is pretty big. 12z/10 NAM looks a little warm, but the NAM3K is colder. Want to see the 12z/10 SPC HREF chill and add an inch or 2 to its previous 48 hrs (by 00z/12z). Am surprised at the HRRR but it matches recent increases in qpf slated for the inverted trough NYC to the Catskills. I like the potential. Added the maximum positive snow depth top (that's a min amount) and the Kuchera (bottom) which is the max amount. I could see in very lite late Sunday precip, briefly turning to drizzle in Sussex County NJ. No matter, plowing looks likely to me, for much of CT/NYS/MA (west of KORH), ne PA and north of I80 in nw NJ. Thanks for the update Walt. I’m sure NWS will be hoisting up advisories in their afternoon packages today. It will be fun too see how the second event unfolds in the next couple of days. A definite taste of winter is on it’s way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 32 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Thanks for the update Walt. I’m sure NWS will be hoisting up advisories in their afternoon packages today. It will be fun too see how the second event unfolds in the next couple of days. A definite taste of winter is on it’s way. I think we need to Sunday-Sunday night. Late Wed-Fri morning of next week has it's uncertainty and now that the GFS has joined the fray, one question becomes track and intensity when it reaches our latitude and how much isallobaric pressure falls centered LI can tuck the wind to NNE over the interior help maintain cold air for ice or snow. LOTS and LOTS of time to change. Is it 995 over LI or 985MB?? Think for now, keep it reigned in as a normal winter nor'easter with snow-ice to rain, wind and a bit of CF at the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Holy! just went to pick up some groceries/gas and people are running around like chickens without their heads. snow flakes! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 The lines at Shop Rite were impressive. So far this has been pretty lackluster. It's warm, although it is finally back down below freezing so it's starting to accumulate better. In the last few minutes the rates really picked up as the temp dropped so the roads are getting covered. It could be interesting driving soon. 29/28 SN E5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 It’s been snowing damn good here over the last couple hours. Tons of accidents now, 84 eastbound closed at exit 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: It’s been snowing damn good here over the last couple hours. Tons of accidents now, 84 eastbound closed at exit 1. I left Quebec City at 8am and ran into lgt snow right around lake placid. Tons of vehicles spun off the road from lake placid all the way down to saugerties. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, snywx said: I left Quebec City at 8am and ran into lgt snow right around lake placid. Tons of vehicles spun off the road from lake placid all the way down to saugerties. The hills between the Lake George exits and exit 30 for lake placid get really sketchy sometimes. Such long stretches between exits too, hard for the plows to keep up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, BxEngine said: The hills between the Lake George exits and exit 30 for lake placid get really sketchy sometimes. Such long stretches between exits too, hard for the plows to keep up. Yeah I didn’t see one plow during that stretch. That drive was a white knuckling experience till about Saratoga lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Finally reporting back for duty for another shift of wintertime at the same place as always 5” here and maybe we can squeeze out another 1-2” in Sullivan. Fun little storm and got in a trial run of new snowblower (it’s solid as I’d hope it’d be). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 3.3” on the board but 4.1” on the ground in the yard…longer grass FTW LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 3.3” on the board but 4.1” on the ground in the yard…longer grass FTW LOL See!? Works every time lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 About an inch here. Pavement is still just wet in most areas in my 'hood, but that should change pretty quickly as night goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Coating on soft surfaces here. Nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: About an inch here. Pavement is still just wet in most areas in my 'hood, but that should change pretty quickly as night goes on. Well, maybe. Drying on radar looks rather final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 29 w/ lgt snow 4” at the stake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: Well, maybe. Drying on radar looks rather final. Same here, about 1", and with the salt they dropped today over the brine from Friday the streets ought to just stay wet now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 At about 550’, snow stuck to everything, trees, most roads, looked great. Down at 185’ just the grass and colder surfaces covered, got just under an inch on the board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2.1" will probably do it. I was hoping for 2" all week, and I got there. Makes the lights look real nice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 36 minutes ago, BxEngine said: At about 550’, snow stuck to everything, trees, most roads, looked great. Down at 185’ just the grass and colder surfaces covered, got just under an inch on the board. Heh. Moderate burst the last 15 minutes got the roads covered at the lower elevations too and put me over an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 30/29 with 2.0”. Looks real nice with the snow on most surfaces. Street is down to pavement since being treated. Just had a burst of moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 It didn't actually stop snowing so I put down almost another inch. Everything is covered, streets are sketchy and with it down to 27° with steady small flakes falling it's filling in all the gaps. It ought to look good in the morning. I guess now the trick is keeping the late week storm cold so we keep the cover for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Measured 4” around 6pm and snowblowed the driveway. Last hour moderate snow again. Probably get another inch before it’s done. Pulled the kids around the neighborhood on the quad earlier before the plows came by. Definitely more like Christmas now. Love it. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Wantage NJ (this south part). 2.7" final. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Good Monday morning everyone. Dec 12. Winter is here in the northeast with probably two or three potentially larger impact storms between the 15th and 28th, sandwiching a much colder than normal period between the 24th and 27th. Yesterday: Will post a general snow amount verification at 9AM for yesterdays light to moderate event (depending on your location). In general it worked out fairly well though with a little less in northern Sussex County but a little more western MA (spotty 8" amounts). Thursday-Friday Dec 15-16: Mainly I-84 corridor north to Canada. Baltimore starts us off with a little ice or snow possible at the start early Thursday otherwise mostly rain there. I-84 corridor should see some snow and ice Thursday afternoon eventually change to rain by Friday morning then possibly end as snow or ice late Friday. Too soon to say how much of what-where but several inches possible for the I-84 corridor. Poconos seem to have best chance for 6" in the I84 corridor itself. Snow could still be mostly ice there. Coastal winds Friday may gust 50+MPH along with a chance of minor-moderate coastal flooding at high tide. Tuesday-Wednesday Dec 20-21 or Thu-Fri 22-23: Interior snow-ice to rain again. Some modeling wants to delay this event til Thu-Fri the 22nd-23rd. The message: another large storm for the northeast USA but how much wintry impact and where is VERY uncertain. This is the least confidently stated potential for the next 10 days. Christmas (24th-27th): Colder or even much colder than normal for a few days. One map attached: the chance for significant snow or ice (advisory or warning criteria) for this coming Thu-Fri. The darker green-blue probabilities is where it's almost certain to be a travel problem for 6-18 hours. At 9AM: will add a prelim snow amount verification for yesterday. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 First shovel session of the season about to commence Get it cleared off now so what little sun we get later dries it out before it ices over after sunset. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 A photo from my yard and a few in the way into work, my photos don't due the scenes this morning justice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 And so those that would like to verify data, here it is. Once the GFS locked on, the positive snow depth from that model I thought was very good. Some models wayyyy to aggressive southern CT. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Hard to tell total accumulation here at the lower elevation of 125’. Highest acculms on cars and grassy surfaces. I’d give a rough estimate of 2.75”. Hopefully the sun will come out and dry up some of this before the freeze tonight. Temps forecasted to be in the mid teens tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 A little disappointed here in Highland Mills, 2.6 inches will do it, we usually do a little better in these type setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: A photo from my yard and a few in the way into work, my photos don't due the scenes this morning justice. They never do, but you got as close as one could hope for. Nice shots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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