Interior NW & NE Burbs 2022

[Hitman]

I got no dog in this fight but it’s still 3 days out and it wouldn’t take much to get into the goods.  Maybe its not a high probability but certainly possible.

[crossbowftw3]

6z euro 

 

difference between 6” and 24” is 100 miles 

[crossbowftw3]

I live approximately where the x is on this image 

[IrishRob17]

13 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

6z euro 

 

difference between 6” and 24” is 100 miles 

That’s better than some of the even sharper cutoffs we’ve seen. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

Would love the 6Z Euro Kuchera to verify but we know that isn't happening.

At the same time I'd still be annoyed I get 20 inches while the jersey shore gets 40. Is there no end to this madness?

[crossbowftw3]

The madness will never end 

 

coming back to earth a tad, the EPS ticked east somewhat.

[crossbowftw3]

Taken from main storm thread, wouldn’t shock me if a distribution like this is what is to actually occur 

[snywx]

1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

6z euro 

 

difference between 6” and 24” is 100 miles 

I’ve seen worse. 

[snywx]

33 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

The madness will never end 

 

coming back to earth a tad, the EPS ticked east somewhat.

Take my word for it.. donot become heavily invested in this potential storm. The euro is most likely out to lunch. It’s literally the only piece of guidance getting anything back this way 

[crossbowftw3]

2 minutes ago, snywx said:

Take my word for it.. donot become heavily invested in this potential storm. The euro is most likely out to lunch. It’s literally the only piece of guidance getting anything back this way 

Unfortunately, true. It’s shockingly hard to not get mesmerized in the pure “WTF” caliber that 6z run provided 

[IrishRob17]

2 minutes ago, snywx said:

Take my word for it.. donot become heavily invested in this potential storm. The euro is most likely out to lunch. It’s literally the only piece of guidance getting anything back this way 

Agreed, I never got too much into this one.  Sure I looked at the models each day but it's been clear for days now to me this isn't our storm.  Honestly, if we get anything even plowable I'd consider it a win at this point.  Hopefully someone on the east coast gets nailed though.  

[Juliancolton]

My optimism earlier in the week does to have been misplaced. Oh well. I'd roll the dice with a phasing/amplifying trough like this any day of the week.

I was on the Walkway this morning at twilight. The floes and brash ice were floating north with the tide, the air was dead still and delightfully frigid, the billowing steam from chimneys across Poughkeepsie was backlit by the glow of dawn. I'm glad to live in a place where even a really crappy winter still looks like winter.

[BxEngine]

So….lake george? Anyone been to that winter fest?

[White Gorilla]

45 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

My optimism earlier in the week does to have been misplaced. Oh well. I'd roll the dice with a phasing/amplifying trough like this any day of the week.

I was on the Walkway this morning at twilight. The floes and brash ice were floating north with the tide, the air was dead still and delightfully frigid, the billowing steam from chimneys across Poughkeepsie was backlit by the glow of dawn. I'm glad to live in a place where even a really crappy winter still looks like winter.

I like your positive perspective 

[gravitylover]

@BxEngineHaven't been but we will probably take a ride up to check it out one day this year.

I keep trying not to get too invested in this potential but I kinda can't help it sometimes. Even if you cut the Euro down by 75% it's still a nice storm if you think outside the last ~20 years.

Setting your expectations low is a good way to get through much of the current world we live in.

[Juliancolton]

Just now, White Gorilla said:

I like your positive perspective 

The wasted potential this weekend stings a bit, but at least it isn't a March 13, 2018 type of deal where you feel like time's up if you don't cash in. Our two snowiest calendar months are still ahead of us.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

I know, It's the NAM, it's out of its range, and it's the Kuchera. But it's not far off from EURO totals this morning.

I just can't look away, even though I know in my heart it's fools gold.

[IrishRob17]

49 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

@BxEngineHaven't been but we will probably take a ride up to check it out one day this year.

I keep trying not to get too invested in this potential but I kinda can't help it sometimes. Even if you cut the Euro down by 75% it's still a nice storm if you think outside the last ~20 years.

Setting your expectations low is a good way to get through much of the current world we live in.

As I've said before here, aim low and you won't be disappointed, AKA how I made it through college.  I'd feel a little better in your spot than some of us further north and northwest.  Lets see what the rest of todays runs brings.  Julian hit it right on the spot though IMO, you have to enjoy what's in front of you.  I'll never understand the need for some to have to jackpot.  

[snywx]

Regardless of what happens this weekend it will still look quite wintry out there. Snowpack has held firm here

[IrishRob17]

Yeah, a rock solid 5" this morning for me (shut up @BxEngine).  Definitely would love to see something this weekend, I love snowfall on top of an existing pack. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

Honestly this is just what I needed. A dose of reality from the 12Z GFS. I can now look away at least until tonight and pretty much know we are toast. Serenity now, serenity now.

[gravitylover]

I wouldn't complain if that happened, I'd be bummed to miss a good one but if it warms up next week like everyone is talking about the sting of not dealing with mud and slush won't be too acute My truck has been DOA for over a month now and I need a stretch of warm and dry weather to deal with it. I'd take it to a shop but the only ones that want to do this job are backed up for 2-3 months so I'm stuck doing it solo. Anyone here ever pull a supercharger off a Jaguar motor want to come help?

[North and West]

Of course, I would love to see a big snowstorm here, but I’m content with knowing I’ve seen a bunch already in my lifetime. (Heck, last February was the snowiest month I’ve ever seen in my own backyard, 40”+)

It’s good to remind ourselves we can’t control it, and at least we may not have to deal with aftereffects (flooding, mud, the like).


.

[ForestHillWx]

3 hours ago, BxEngine said:

So….lake george? Anyone been to that winter fest?

Fun times when I was up there during college. Duffy’s tavern, a few other places, had some tasty beverages when looking out over a frozen paradise. 

[Juliancolton]

2 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Anyone here ever pull a supercharger off a Jaguar motor want to come help?

No way, not after last time when you promised me you owned all the cars in the parking garage and needed the catalytic converters for your kid's science fair project.

[rclab]

Good late afternoon all. I hope no one minds if I stay here awhile. I’m getting too old to spend extended time in the storm thread. As always

[BxEngine]

3 hours ago, ForestHillWx said:

Fun times when I was up there during college. Duffy’s tavern, a few other places, had some tasty beverages when looking out over a frozen paradise. 

Im gonna be up in Lake Placid next weekend so im not sure if im up for driving all the way up that direction 2 weekends in a row, but with this storm now missing, maybe.

[North and West]

Good late afternoon all. I hope no one minds if I stay here awhile. I’m getting too old to spend extended time in the storm thread. As always

I love seeing the back and forth and prognostications, but this one seems even more and extra crazy than usual.




.

[White Gorilla]

I have a feeling late Feb or March will deliver a foot plus for us here in the interior woods, a reduced version of March 2017.  Just a hunch and some Nina climo thrown in.  

[gravitylover]

5 hours ago, Juliancolton said:

No way, not after last time when you promised me you owned all the cars in the parking garage and needed the catalytic converters for your kid's science fair project.

Maybe you have some garage space I could borrow for a week or so. I have a good friend who's a high level mechanic that lives up there and he offered to help but only if I have a garage to use. I'll bring beer

2 hours ago, rclab said:

Good late afternoon all. I hope no one minds if I stay here awhile. I’m getting too old to spend extended time in the storm thread. As always

You are always welcome here. Consider it like that cozy lounge where your buds are hanging out with chilled cocktails.