Westendsnowguy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 SREFs technically at 8:30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 SREFS can sometimes give you an idea of how the next set of runs is gonna go. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: NAM in about an hour, followed by ICON Around 10, then GFS, EURO I suspect the NAM will start to migrate towards the GFS camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Technically next up is the LR HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR but i dunno if anyone cares about that. Its running now - not seeing any noteworthy changes at 500, but then again this was already the snowiest model at 18z, so maybe thats a good thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 My zone went to light snow likely. Ok. I’m listening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: I suspect the NAM will start to migrate towards the GFS camp You'd think...then again what was that storm last year where the NAM remained stubborn yet kinda inside 48 and ended up being right? Lol Although with the other guidance ticking in the right direction at this range (as opposed to staying put), that would be a bit strange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 00z HRRR is actually digging even further and the SS sw is west of 18z.... maybe an even further NW solution incoming? lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, caviman2201 said: 00z HRRR is actually digging even further and the SS sw is west of 18z.... maybe an even further NW solution incoming? lol No. No way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not sayin' just sayin'... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I know it is the long range HRRR but looking at the 00z run at 20 hours. Energy seems to be held back more near Texas with there being less confluence to the Northeast. Edit: ninja'd dammit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 0z hrrr is Way more amped- PSU is going to reel this baby in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Not sayin' just sayin'... Watch the heights up around Lake Huron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 lol watch this be the first parr's ridge special run... looks like is ready to rain on the cities EDIT: LOL pouring rain in DC at hr29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The 00z HRRR has the DP at DCA dropping from 61 to 31 in 10 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: lol watch this be the first parr's ridge special run First flakes for some of us. If I get that everything else is gravy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Looking good after that first rain panel though... going to be a huge run for everyone. I mean thats a proper MA snowstorm look 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The 00z HRRR has the DP at DCA dropping from 61 to 31 in 10 hours. Is that good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Looking good after that first rain panel though... going to be a huge run for everyone. I mean thats a proper MA snowstorm look Look how far north the 540 is! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, BristowWx said: No. No way No we probably don't want that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Is that good? The upper SC to Hattaras track is not usually a winner for us. But who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Wonderdog said: No we probably don't want that Agree. This thing is starting to scare me. Based on the HRRR it’s a rain storm for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Agree. This thing is starting to scare me. Based on the HRRR it’s a rain storm for RIC. So perfect for DC then!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The upper SC to Hattaras track is not usually a winner for us. But who knows. I suspect the final result revealed itself in earlier runs and this stuff is all a tease 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I suspect the final result revealed itself in earlier runs and this stuff is all a tease 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HRRR gives BWI, DCA, & IAD their first inch of snow. Keep your expectations low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 SREF’s took one of the biggest jumps NW I’ve ever seen. I’m looking at 24 hour precip ending Monday afternoon 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: SREF’s took one of the biggest jumps NW I’ve ever seen. I’m looking at 24 hour precip ending Monday afternoon I bet the next run of the NAM jumps far NW then as well. Seems like the SREF's always tell you what the next run of the NAM will do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: SREF’s took one of the biggest jumps NW I’ve ever seen. I’m looking at 24 hour precip ending Monday afternoon the snow mean for DCA jumped from .69" to 5.28", lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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