LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 But I thought DT made it clear for us yesterday… 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeg0305 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Nice toy!The NSX is nice too . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Fozz said: Spoke too soon, GFS is a weenie run! You back there for good? Didn’t know you left. Returned in time haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: But I thought DT made it clear for us yesterday… Twitter suspended him for that 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mikeg0305 said: The NSX is nice too . Thanks dude. Birthday present from my wife. I know how to choose them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That look has thundersnow.. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Twitter suspended him for that Social media Aleet rule broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: That look has thundersnow. . Cantore just peed his pants 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You back there for good? Didn’t know you left. Returned in time haha. Yeah with remote work it wasn't worth keeping an apartment. The world changed so much in just a few years. I hope to still go to NNE for skiing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Cantore just peed his pants I just crapped a Churchill seeing that snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 If the GFS verified it would be on DC's top ten snowfall list, number 3 if the clown known as the kuchera ratio is right and it only melts .5 of an inch or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: I just crapped a Churchill seeing that snow map Jackpot Bristow….beat down coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 My first snowfall map I’ve ever attempted. Don’t be too harsh… 5 22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just saw a sign at local Home Depot that said no shovels 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Jackpot Bristow….beat down coming Yes that usually goes well. Bristow is a snow town….we call it Brisnow…Still half that and wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Scraff said: My first snowfall map I’ve ever attempted. Don’t be too harsh… The most accurate map posted yet! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: If the GFS verified it would be on DC's top ten snowfall list, number 3 if the clown known as the kuchera ratio is right and it only melts .5 of an inch or less. And it would be No.2 snowfall in a la nina second only to 1995/96, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: Yes that usually goes well. Bristow is a snow town….we call it Brisnow…Still half that and wow Bad news brother. The toy has a leak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: And it would be No.2 snowfall in a la nina second only to 1995/96, lol Which is why expectations should be kept in check. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Certainly reason to keep expectations in check wrt max accumulation. Warm ground temps + wetness will eat up some initial accums. Rates will overcome but I wouldn’t be expecting double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Yes that usually goes well. Bristow is a snow town….we call it Brisnow…Still half that and wow First Winter in Haymarket….let’s see how we fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Good news on the GFS for those of us to the NW is the expansion of the precip shield up into central PA. I figured we would start seeing that as the model runs closer the event came in. Still think the the battleground is further SE than normal and we dont end up seeing a death band out this way. But getting skunked seems unlikely at this point as well. Just glad we are actually about to see a decent region wide storm in a Nina. Enjoy everyone. 7 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Which is why expectations should be kept in check. Indeed...gonna be interesting to see if we get that rare nina balance of just enough ns but jot too much. NAM and ICOn give me pause because that's a typical way to fail in a nina...too much ns! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Bad news brother. The toy has a leak. Sadness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 CMC takes another solid step NW, looks pretty close to GFS now with lower totals. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Solution Man said: First Winter in Haymarket….let’s see how we fair We often make dramatic showings that fall just short here in west Prince William County… The only place worse is East Prince William County… But welcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We often make dramatic showings that fall just short here in west Prince William County… The only place worse is East Prince William County… But welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=us&product=wv-mid The WV loop is a thing of beauty. The flow is really backing in the TN valley. This has a classic look for the mid Atlantic! Btw I still like to look at the WV sometimes just to get a feel for the flow. I’ll never forget being in the psu weather center the day before the Jan 2000 storm trying to argue with the meteorologists on duty that it was clear from the WV and IR that the mid and upper levels were way more amplified and the flow was backing much more than any of the nwp was showing over the Miss Valley. They were pretty dismissive…”it’s only 24 hours, the models would be picking up on it” lol 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowfan said: Certainly reason to keep expectations in check wrt max accumulation. Warm ground temps + wetness will eat up some initial accums. Rates will overcome but I wouldn’t be expecting double digits. The 'warm ground' theory has been debunked numerous times, most notably out west (CO front range, temps in the 70s one day, blizzard the next), but even here in the mid Atlantic as well. Especially along the coast (see Norfolk with the March 1980 snowstorm). Your point about the rates is spot on. Best case scenario I see is we crash to 32 with ripping fat flakes. There is certainly some instability, or very weak stability, to work with within the dendritic growth zone. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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