Herb@MAWS Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 If everything is covered white I’ll claim victory, given where we were 48 hrs ago. Don’t care if it’s 1-2” vs 3-5”. Just want it to look like winter, is all. ☃️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 gfs looks fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 This is better than last night for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS says 10+ for basically everyone 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Ellinwood uploaded his map into the 12z gfs and then the gfs did gfs things 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just guarantee this panel happens tomorrow and I’ll be happy 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: This is better than last night for DC Temps are also into the upper 20's during the heavy period of snow which is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 WB 12Z GFS 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, rjvanals said: This is better than last night for DC I mean, I just don't understand some of the maps out there given this. I think the GFS is generally terrible but I have to admit it has been the clear leader with this storm. I'd hang my hat on a GFS/Euro blend with this one over the other models and take my chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I'm reassured now... The Gfs has been leading the way with this storm for days. Nam and icon pooped the bed but they haven't exactly been consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I've pondered why the "storm highways" set up the way they do. It's unpredictable at any range b4 it sets up but once a track gets "carved" in an active pattern, it's rather incredible how the atmosphere truly appears to have a memory. Kinda like I70 in the Midwest. So many trucks driving the same road for so long it created depressions in the highway that will steer your car for you. I once went over 20 miles in Central KS without touching the steering wheel. The atmosphere seems to work the same way at times. I sorta believe in the concept of atmospheric memory, as much as I hate to admit it. It’s probably easily explainable that storms will track similar paths during the same pattern, but I do like seeing this storm because maybe one follows the same path later in the winter, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 We have been GFS’ed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 @CAPEliking a blend of the 12z GFS and 6z Euro for his yard. 15-20” seems reasonable 4 8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yasss gfs, more to the north this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: this was by far the best GFS run. We needed that after the Nam fiasco 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Man it's been six years since snow like this, I can't recall when MBY has been jackpot in the models, maybe not at all in the past 17yrs. I need to take lots of screencaps because it's unlikely to happen again any time soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, mappy said: Yasss gfs, more to the north this run. Like seeing five inch or more line into southern PA… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 So a 14" difference between the GFS and NAM 30 hours out. This tracks. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Like seeing five inch or more line into southern PA… Yup. Of course we will have to worry about subsidence, but maybe we will eek out a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Yasss gfs, more to the north this run. Have no fear, you will get jackpotted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Ji said: this was by far the best GFS run. We needed that after the Nam fiasco Unreal run! God, I hope it is right. But there is time for one more slight NW shift right??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, Fozz said: Congrats to usedtobe and the southerners! Like others said, I'm just going to let the chips fall where they will. I've kept an eye on this but never had any big expectations, and honestly it's not worth it in this region to get so sucked in. An inch or two will still be a nice treat. Spoke too soon, GFS is a weenie run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Have no fear, you will get jackpotted. Wasn’t worried in the least. Any snow is good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 King GooFuS has returned! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS has locked in on the big storm idea for 4 straight runs now, each incrementally better. Gotta go with it. 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, mappy said: Yup. Of course we will have to worry about subsidence, but maybe we will eek out a few inches Juice it up and take our chances would be my preference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: GFS has locked in on the big storm idea for 4 straight runs now, each incrementally better. Gotta go with it. The GFS sniffed it out early, like the big ones normally are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, IronTy said: Blade is on the Muck Truck and we're charging up. Nice toy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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