nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I want this storm to be the GFS route not only because it snows a lot but also the panic it would cause. Imagine people wake up tomorrow and see their weather app saying a foot for DC, people would freak out. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: if this even comes close to verifying, DC radio will probably get a lot of public criticism ... just heard WTOP say "a few flurries north and west" Monday morning They're not wrong. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 lol the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 We should see some watches by tomorrow morning I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: They're not wrong. yeah, possibly, but if there is significant snow people are not really going to understand the model uncertainty and situation. Also think they implied nothing elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well. Probably the most significant shift out of any non-meso compared to its 12z counterpart. Still not as amped as others, but takes the 1" snow line into DC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well. Still a miss but a big jump nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 That jump by the Ukie is embarrassing. Still drunk from NYE. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Probably the most significant shift out of any non-meso compared to its 12z counterpart. Still not as amped as others, but takes the 1" snow like into DC. Just saw the better maps on Pivotal. Agree on the shift (its in NAM territory in terms of size of shift) and it makes me wonder if we’re not yet done with the adjustments on the UK heading into tomorrow’s 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I want this storm to be the GFS route not only because it snows a lot but also the panic it would cause. Imagine people wake up tomorrow and see their weather app saying a foot for DC, people would freak out. Mass carnage and fighting for the last bread and milk good way to start the new year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: How when according to some models it should be snowing in 27 hours are we at the GFS saying 15 for DC, Euro saying an inch or two, CMC with 2ish and icon with less than an inch. But all of them are adjusting to be like the odd one out. WHAT IS THIS MADNESS. Is this your first season looking at wx models? 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Is this your first season looking at wx models?Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Since last year set the precedent of a constant NW march until gametime I feel like we're in a decent spot until we're not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Has anybody posted the NAM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: Just saw the better maps on Pivotal. Agree on the shift (its in NAM territory in terms of size of shift) and it makes me wonder if we’re not yet done with the adjustments on the UK heading into tomorrow’s 12z. I’m gonna go with a no on if we are done. Mainly because that’s what I want 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Is this your first season looking at wx models? Love it. Mr. Chill is back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Y’all bring her north. I’ll have to read about it in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 22 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: if this even comes close to verifying, DC radio will probably get a lot of public criticism ... just heard WTOP say "a few flurries north and west" Monday morning Clay Anderson wanted to say it and showed models showing lots of snow, but he ended up saying “might get sprinkles.” I expect Lauryn Ricketts tomorrow morning will do a much better job for NBC4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’ve been gone for 72 hours and this happens. What the F is going on? I honestly haven’t looked at anything, but I did see a tweet posting the 5H look becoming increasingly less progressive allowing for a deeper, more neutral tilt to the shortwave trough. Considering the thermal gradient provided by the east bound cold air mass, we’ll probably see a nice area of baroclinicty on the lead side of the trough/ULL. The attendant height rises ahead of the deepening trough help bring a great NW pull of the precip field as the low pressure ramps up. If you look at the 7H moisture panel, it tells a lot of the story. Sneaky little sucker here. Like areas along and south of Rt 50 for the time being, but areas north could get into the fun. I’m on the road all day tomorrow, so won’t be able to look at much. Will peruse when I can. Good luck y’all . 10 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 15 minute countdown to the most important 15 minutes of our lives to date. 3 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Deck Pic said: 15 minute countdown to the most important 15 minutes of our lives to date. Your face is coming. I feel it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 00Z in the house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, IronTy said: 00Z in the house You're so late. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: You're so late. My wife says it all the time. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 i think the euro is stuck 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Who's gonna post the 0Z euro first? I'm waiting frame by frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I’m out through hour 9 on Pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: I’m out through hour 9 on Pivotal. Im at hr 16. Bastardi sends me special data ahead of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 48 minutes ago, Chase said: Clay Anderson wanted to say it and showed models showing lots of snow, but he ended up saying “might get sprinkles.” I expect Lauryn Ricketts tomorrow morning will do a much better job for NBC4. Yeah definitely understand the position they are in, they don't want another March 2013. I would not want to be a TV meteorologist right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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