peribonca Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Amazing how getting into MJO 8 works wonders 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It’s really bad for you all to joke so much about Betty White dying. She’s alive and has a resting heart rate of 0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Pretty crazy shift NW That blue shaft like object is right over my house…what does that mean?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That blue shaft like object is right over my house…what does that mean?? 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 RGEM looks to have more of a negative tilt thus far to hour 29 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: I will use the GFS as an example, as it appears to be kicking ass here. Back to the basics. The set up looks largely the same as when I first started posting about this window 5-6 days ago, and it is a favorable one. Cold air with sprawling HP to the west and north (note the absence of the dreaded GL low), low pressure off of the Canadian Maritimes, and high pressure over Greenland. H5 is also reflective of the favorable look for snow in the MA. One flaw is the anomalous warmth we have in place just ahead of this potential event- but the cold push is legit, and as long as the shortwave is sharp and with a favorable pass to the south, and with all the features mentioned above in the 'right places' the solution the models seem to be converging on is reasonable. The expansion of the precip shield further NW into the colder air is not reflective of any significant shift in the low track, but rather a sharper shortwave and better timing. Overall a pretty classic look, and throw in that the -NAO is breaking down- not to say that this is going to be a KU type event. Cape, sort of an IMBY question for those in Baltimore and north...Is there any synoptic mechanism that might either expand the heavier precip north or even bring the low pressure more north? If so, what would a novice map reader look for. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: RGEM looks to have more of a negative tilt thus far to hour 29 Definitely ticking slowly NW run to run Southern MD will love this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: RDPS got a little toasty. Is the RDPS a disease? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Icon came NW no stopping this shift it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Crazy 18z GFS still had the most snow so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 No model likes Loudoun County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 RGEM is a solid hit for the area. Pivotal precip maps shows sleet/mixing into DC (and south of there) but the column (per the sounding) is below freezing. 4” into DC, 1” into Baltimore on the Kuchera map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 ICON …. Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: RGEM is a solid hit for the area. Pivotal precip maps shows sleet/mixing into DC (and south of there) but the column (per the sounding) is below freezing. 4” into DC, 1” into Baltimore on the Kuchera map. Can you post with comparison to earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: RGEM is a solid hit for the area. Pivotal precip maps shows sleet/mixing into DC (and south of there) but the column (per the sounding) is below freezing. 4” into DC, 1” into Baltimore on the Kuchera map. Pretty soon we’re going to be sweating the rain/snow line. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: ICON …. Bump 540 line also bumped. This is one for the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Can you post with comparison to earlier? Cut back off the north but bumped the 6”+ closer to DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 NWS discussion The final wave of low pressure with this long-stalled frontal boundary is now trending further north and west in latest guidance. Some solutions now show a rather significant snowfall especially from DC on south and east for late Sunday night into Monday. This is rather concerning and latest guidance will be closely reviewed overnight for possible advisory, or even watch, issuance, if necessary. For now, have only trended POPs and snowfall further north, with likely pops into DC metro and a light accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Pretty soon we’re going to be sweating the rain/snow line. Meh. I could care less. It’s been an atrocious pattern so far…an inch of slush/sleet/etc is fine by me. Few put faith in this actually happening so whatever (if anything) falls, I’m fine with. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS looks even more amped through 18hrs 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, Solution Man said: NWS discussion The final wave of low pressure with this long-stalled frontal boundary is now trending further north and west in latest guidance. Some solutions now show a rather significant snowfall especially from DC on south and east for late Sunday night into Monday. This is rather concerning and latest guidance will be closely reviewed overnight for possible advisory, or even watch, issuance, if necessary. For now, have only trended POPs and snowfall further north, with likely pops into DC metro and a light accumulation. It's not rather concerning to me. 1 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I agree. Early call, better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS is even more negative then 18z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Deck Pic said: It's not rather concerning to me. The office is full of snow hating bears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS...lol...buckle up 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I'll take Hr 33 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GFS about to go crazy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Kaboom goes the GFS, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 get those kucheras queued up. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Yup 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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