H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 WSWatch just hoisted? Phone went off. Panic at the stores about to begin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Capucci playing catch up 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 SREF’s wetter again to the nw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Sterling just expanded the WWW to include Loudon CO all of MoCo on up I-95 to BalCo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, H2O said: WSWatch just hoisted? Phone went off. Panic at the stores about to begin Don’t forget your football picks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HRRR is a beauty for many of us. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I think the NAMs shifted south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I think the NAMs shifted southNooooooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: I think the NAMs shifted south It appears that way. Very weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Not too worried yet but 6z GFS also was South Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Looks like I’ll be tracking light snow up here on the nam lol. There’s a couple of ways this storm could bust so need to stay wise re expectations. 12z globals will be kinda important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 HRRR vs NAM… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, mappy said: Don’t forget your football picks Thanks for the reminder! Totally forgot. Hasn’t been top of mind lately. Will do it now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, peribonca said: Not too worried yet but 6z GFS also was South Gooooood 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I think the NAMs shifted south Given what it did yesterday I’m not sure how much it can be trusted. But you will make some panic now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Geez what a disaster 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oof! Sharp cut off. Gonna bet Baltimore just misses warning level accumulation again...lol (unless we get another bump) Yes. The cutoff is brutal. Especially for my area (Winchester). Literally 10 miles could be 4 inches or nothing. I would expect the precip shield to actually be a bit larger. Weenie logic only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 NAM is so bad. But then you have the FV3 that's even better. NAM sucks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Both NAMs picking up on todays souther trend. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The ARW ensemble is what drug the NAM away looking at the SREF but the NMM went up some over 16 for bwi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Peeps worrying about the NAM must be new here… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, snowfan said: Both NAMs picking up on todays souther trend. Weird that the Euro doesn't know anything about this souther trend you're speaking of. We'll have to see if the RGEM or ICON do here shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: What is FV3? The NAM’s replacement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowfan said: Both NAMs picking up on todays souther trend. What south trend? There is no south trend. The NAMs went a bit south. No other guidance is doing that. Other guidance continues to shift north. Could it change? Sure. But I'm confused how there is a south trend right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, snowfan said: Both NAMs picking up on todays souther trend. since when do these things trend south moments before kickoff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: What is FV3? The NAM’s replacement? FV3 has been chosen as the dynamical core for the Next Generation Global Prediction System project (NGGPS), designed to upgrade the current operational Global Forecast System (GFS) to run as a unified, fully-coupled system in NOAA’s Environmental Modeling System infrastructure. FV3 was successfully implemented within the GFS, and the FV3-based GFSv15 became operational on 12 June 2019. Other applications, such as regional high-resolution forecasting and coupled atmosphere-ocean modeling for seasonal prediction, are planned for later implementation at NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Nam’s higher resolution could be keying in on the heavier band and chopping off the expanse of the lighter precip. I’d be concerned about temps the most further south. We’re relying on a helluva temp drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 gm 23 3 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The banding on the FV3 makes sense. I’ll buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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