osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: Happy for you all south of me! Think you will do quite well. Would be surprised if this doesn't tick slightly farther NW over the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 7 minutes ago, H2O said: And all I’ll say about the death band is this: It will snow the best where it usually does. Without fail. Call it ortho lift, call it frontgen, call it same ol shit what will matter most is the cold push. Where that sets and sits will make this a boom or bust. That’ cold push is what will wring out the juice. What screws the SE areas is always the cold bleed. Cold air loves to sit above 300ft and take it’s sweet time to filter down to the coastal plain. I have been watching Mid Atlantic snowstorms for only 10 years (way less than some other posters) and I have never seen it not happen this way. NW areas won’t get as much QPF, but will be colder and thus get more snow out of the QPF they do get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 My thinking is that the precip shield and not the north tick is what we see going forwards. Probably just enough to move watches/advisories one zone north and west. But this thing has done a ton on models the last 24 hours so I hope it Keeps it going a little longer so I can shovel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Think you will do quite well. Would be surprised if this doesn't tick slightly farther NW over the next few runs. @mappyis politely humble and then will double DCA’s total lol 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: HRRR is going to make everyone happy. Cheers to the 12z suites coming That isn’t an improvement here. Good thing I have no respect for this model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Congrats on 17"! You sound like my wife. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Forgive me if posted, but NWS has definitely increased thoughts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, mappy said: Happy for you all south of me! I see what you’re trying to do. Lol. Can’t wait to see pictures of your jackpotville. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Think you will do quite well. Would be surprised if this doesn't tick slightly farther NW over the next few runs. 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @mappyis politely humble and then will double DCA’s total lol Mappy doesn’t care how much falls. She’s happy with whatever she gets 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I mean let’s be real. It’s 8:30 and I’m sitting at 58°. That means I need a 23° drop in temps just to have a shot at half this modeled snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Gonna go ahead an upgrade to a brine warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, Scraff said: I see what you’re trying to do. Lol. Can’t wait to see pictures of your jackpotville. lol not at all. I didn’t even know it was gonna snow until late last night. Haven’t looked at a model, or even this forum, in days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 How often does that happen? That’s why the cold push rules all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I certainly think the 12z models are probably going to take another NW jog this might continue till the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, H2O said: How often does that happen? That’s why the cold push rules all I’m super happy for you. I know this snow would def help your life woes, so I hope you get a foot 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Gonna go ahead an upgrade to a brine warning Do they brine wet roads? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, H2O said: I mean let’s be real. It’s 8:30 and I’m sitting at 58°. That means I need a 23° drop in temps just to have a shot at half this modeled snow Well, more than that because your high today will probably be 63F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, mappy said: Happy for you all south of me! thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: Do they brine wet roads? They do here….they have so much from years past Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You sound like my wife. 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Congrats on 1.7”! Poor thing 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: I certainly think the 12z models are probably going to take another NW jog this might continue till the start. Agree. 70% of the time it works every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Well, more than that because your high today will probably be 63F Hoping the sun comes out soon so I get a thunderstorm watch while you have a blizzard watch. The outflow from my storm will help your drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 A little blue sky poking through. Calm before the storm baby! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, mappy said: I’m super happy for you. I know this snow would def help your life woes, so I hope you get a foot Thank you! I hate hoping or relying on weather to make something better but goddamn this would help given the last few days. I hope we all cash in. I just don’t want to have things fail down here like they do 9/10 times. But if I get to try out the new 4x4 tomorrow I’ll be so happy. And pulling for you to see a nice snow too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, WeatherShak said: A little blue sky poking through. Calm before the storm baby! 95 north is amazingly empty!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Imagine we’ll be in storm mode soon..get your affairs in order…Godspeed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Watches expanded 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, H2O said: Thank you! I hate hoping or relying on weather to make something better but goddamn this would help given the last few days. I hope we all cash in. I just don’t want to have things fail down here like they do 9/10 times. But if I get to try out the new 4x4 tomorrow I’ll be so happy. And pulling for you to see a nice snow too! Be happy over the little wins where you can find them. watch issued for my backyard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, midatlanticweather said: Watches expanded lets go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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