midatlanticweather Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:11 AM, EHoffman said: Giddyup Expand Appear to be a few KU's in that mix, mostly pretty isolated areas and confined to Southern MD and VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:11 AM, Ji said: On 1/2/2022 at 4:08 AM, CAPE said: Expand Im impressed dude. You nailed this 10 days ago when we had a severe se ridge Expand It was probably desperation, the period had a good look, and there was nothing else to post about other than mjo, and strat shit. Sometimes we get too mired in the slump and keep looking too far ahead for something 'better'. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:13 AM, EastCoast NPZ said: This one is going to hurt. Expand You really have to change your outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Fozz and BobChill Bizarro-world with the NAM and GFS reversing roles in the QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Canadian is hauling a** comparing it to 12z. Going to be some mega rates with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Where will the jackpot be? Wintergreen maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Crazy shifts NW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:12 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Definitely need a couple more bumps. How would y’all feel about 50 miles? Expand Depends...I'm geographically challenged, but as long as Baltimore is in blue/deep blue, sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It does seem GFS has been leading the way in terms of other models catching up to a more NW solution. I’m not saying the GFS (especially the crazy 00z depiction) is right, but the “oh lets 100% discount the GFS because its the GFS” mantra may not hold with this storm. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:12 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Definitely need a couple more bumps. How would y’all feel about 50 miles? Expand Nahhh like it just the way it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:21 AM, Snowchaser said: Where will the jackpot be? Wintergreen maybe? Expand Haymarket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 What time does the Para run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 CMC now has the wonder greens too. Seems like literally every model is going towards the GFS and that makes it super hard to discount it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 SBY Jack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 20" in Salisbury including 17 "in a 6 hr period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:33 AM, CAPE said: SBY JackBrutal for west and north of dc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:28 AM, nj2va said: It does seem GFS has been leading the way in terms of other models catching up to a more NW solution. I’m not saying the GFS (especially the crazy 00z depiction) is right, but the “oh lets 100% discount the GFS because its the GFS” mantra may not hold with this storm. Expand The GFS was the only model that even had this idea 5 days ago. It is absolutely leading the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 PSU is licking his chops. On 1/2/2022 at 4:35 AM, Ji said: On 1/2/2022 at 4:33 AM, CAPE said: SBY Jack Expand Brutal for west and north of dc Expand Plenty of time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Does give you an indication of how we could “fail” (northern stream stronger/more confluence, blah, blah) around here. Do think a middle ground between the CMC and GFS is a good call right now. Gotta wait for the models to stop shifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Canadian temp profile would indicate it is not all snow on the eastern shore until close to 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 How when according to some models it should be snowing in 27 hours are we at the GFS saying 15 for DC, Euro saying an inch or two, CMC with 2ish and icon with less than an inch. But all of them are adjusting to be like the odd one out. WHAT IS THIS MADNESS. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 if this even comes close to verifying, DC radio will probably get a lot of public criticism ... just heard WTOP say "a few flurries north and west" Monday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I want this storm to be the GFS route not only because it snows a lot but also the panic it would cause. Imagine people wake up tomorrow and see their weather app saying a foot for DC, people would freak out. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:42 AM, Ephesians2 said: if this even comes close to verifying, DC radio will probably get a lot of public criticism ... just heard WTOP say "a few flurries north and west" Monday morning Expand They're not wrong. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 lol the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 We should see some watches by tomorrow morning I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:45 AM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: They're not wrong. Expand yeah, possibly, but if there is significant snow people are not really going to understand the model uncertainty and situation. Also think they implied nothing elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 On 1/2/2022 at 4:44 AM, nj2va said: On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well. Expand Probably the most significant shift out of any non-meso compared to its 12z counterpart. Still not as amped as others, but takes the 1" snow line into DC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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