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January 3 CAPE Storm


WxUSAF
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1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Honestly nothing stopping this NW push lack of cold air push south has been the case all year good to see all the guidance catching on. GFS was great from hour 12 

Yea gotta think the boundary is setting up further north and west than expected…or just slower to move in.

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Just now, caviman2201 said:

100%... I care way more about the precip axis than the amounts its spitting out

Agreed.  Want to see more modeling with this precip axis to feel really good.  Even if we cut those numbers in half, it is a huge win for most of this area.

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6 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Exactly my thoughts. Trying to remember a major storm shifting like this so close to game time in recent times. Wow

Was thinking the same thing.  Wonder if the Nov 1987 surprise event the shellacked portions of the area would have shown similar last minute characteristics if the modeling then was on par with today's computational models?  

 

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