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January 3 CAPE Storm


WxUSAF
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5 minutes ago, Amped said:

Good to see the EUro somewhat on board.   I still want to wait for 00z before getting too excited.  I've seen occasional run cycles where all guidance hiccups, and shows something odd before reverting back 6hrs later.  This did seem like a pretty big jump from whats been shown the past several days.

I agree with this normally but in an exigent circumstance like this the fact that the Euro is digging harder now and showing some semblance of producing a GFS like event wrt Synoptics you can’t help but get cautiously optimistic. Told Ian yesterday going to remain positive for this one. 

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1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

I suspect the NAM will start to migrate towards the GFS camp

You'd think...then again what was that storm last year where the NAM remained stubborn yet kinda inside 48 and ended up being right? Lol Although with the other guidance ticking in the right direction at this range (as opposed to staying put), that would be a bit strange.

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