H2O Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: So far we have the GFS, RGEM, HRRR, and HRDPS all agreeing. GFS and CMC. Canadians have 3-6" for the area just south and east of DC. The rest of those models are trash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Still a south model bias, it's in the 50's, too warm for Richmond to get 10"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 47 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Nice visual. Increasing separation from the northern stream with a stronger southern stream shortwave. Maybe even a slight negative tilt on the 18z?? Sure looks like it to me! Imagine what a slightly more negative tilt and a little more separation would do? If the GFS is right, we seem like very, very small moves from something quite significant. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: south model bias, For me, this is a truism especially in a Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Euro??. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 29 minutes ago, H2O said: I love you, but you have way too much time on your hands these days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said: Euro?? . Around 745pm est IIRC... or is it 645pm? All I know for sure is that it's not out JUST yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: We usually do well when it's 65 like 10 hours before onset. we don't do denver very well, but then again there's always feb 87 and commutageddon to rely on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said: Euro?? . Go look?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Dont think anyone mentioned it but the 18Z RGEM took a big step toward the GFS. Pretty major change run to run. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 RGEM is acceptable. We have about 30 more minutes to enjoy this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Want to see now if the low goes over or south of Atlanta I want it over or north by no more than 75 miles. still looking like a non suppressive, non shunting 30.25 baro effecting DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I'm rooting hard for this, not just because I want snow, but also because it will be even more difficult to retire the NAM if it scores a huge win on this event. 7 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, high risk said: I'm rooting hard for this, not just because I want snow, but also because it will be even more difficult to retire the NAM if it scores a huge win on this event. It’s hard to fathom for a layman like me to think the NAM is not seeing this at this range. It seems like at this range there would t be much difference between any of the models. It’s puzzling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: It’s hard to fathom for a layman like me to think the NAM is not seeing this at this range. It seems like at this range there would t be much difference between any of the models. It’s puzzling He was just mentioning how the model is being replaced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Euro??.It's hardly going to budge. Its never just given us a snowstorm 36 hours out from nothing lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: He was just mentioning how the model is being replaced. Yes I know. Just a general question/comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Anyone have the 18z Euro or is it not out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 If the euro 18z isn’t bullish please don’t post it. Thank you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 If the euro 18z isn’t bullish please don’t post it. Thank you Zero chance it's bullish. We just have to hope its wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 18z euro is digging more and stronger w ss SW and less ns interaction... Might be better 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: 18z euro is digging more and stronger w ss SW and less ns interaction... Might be better Also notice the 500 low is closed at hour 33 and 36 vs 12z. Always like to see that. Hopefully translates to a better surface depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 At least Euro won’t be worse than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It’s a step in the right direction. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro takes a nice step towards GFS and RGEM. Just need another small nudge and we are in business. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Saw this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Snow into DC on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Accumulating snow into DC now, pretty significant change from 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 It’s a step in the right direction. Lol...looks awful. Like a dry clipper awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts