WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 ICON with a bump. Models today have been consistent with the ns starting to outrun the ss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:34 PM, IUsedToHateCold said: The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way. Expand Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:36 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: ICON with a bump. Models today have been consistent with the ns starting to outrun the ss. Expand That’s the reason we’ve been this latest trend. Not just a N/w trend in the shield or precip, more so a change in the Synoptics/h5 that’s driving the vort & associated low. Also think that’s why we’ve seen the precip orientations take on a different angle as we’ve discussed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:38 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution. Expand That would ruin my night pretty quick. I don't have high expectations, but I'd at least like to see first flakes for the season. Is it a lot to ask? Probably. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:38 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution. Expand Why would you wish this evil upon us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:38 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution. Expand For some reason, that has happened more times than us long time board members care to discuss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:38 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Watch the 18z GFS after sticking with its solution just turn into the NAM after the other models start to come to its solution. Expand No it won’t, not this time….it’s been so bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:40 PM, IUsedToHateCold said: That would ruin my night pretty quick. I don't have high expectations, but I'd at least like to see first flakes for the season. Is it a lot to ask? Probably. Expand 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 GFS through 24 a bit better. Let's see if it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:34 PM, IUsedToHateCold said: The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way. Expand Each and every possible outcome must be shown. Thats how you stay funded Analogs say this one works and don’t switch to cover their ass every 6 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:47 PM, peribonca said: GFS through 24 a bit better. Let's see if it holds Expand Gonna be good I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Yeah GFS is better again, northern stream ran out faster again this run, h5 orientation was better to gain latitude as well. DC south is crushed 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2009 vibes anyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 I’ll take that 18z GFS and lock it up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 ALEET! 1 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Jesus! All of 81 freakin ripping meatball fatties at 42. Even if it’s ALEET bring it on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Boom! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 GFS is either gonna bust hard or score a nice win. Funny that the NAM wants absolutely nothing to do with this 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Kuchera 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Like the NAM GFS is showing signs in soundings that we might have to contend w Sleet if we get precip up here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Murica? 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:53 PM, rjvanals said: Like the NAM GFS is showing signs in soundings that we might have to contend w Sleet if we get precip up here Expand I'd take a mix with sleet over what I thought this morning... a few wet flakes that might accumulate on car tops for about 15 minutes, in the best case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:54 PM, CoastalWx said: Murica? Expand If you've got the long-range HRRR and the GFS on your side, how can you go wrong? 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Wow big jump north. This is the GFS run that the RGEM needed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 Happy hour might even make DT love the GFS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:53 PM, rjvanals said: Like the NAM GFS is showing signs in soundings that we might have to contend w Sleet if we get precip up here Expand 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 On 1/1/2022 at 9:53 PM, Ephesians2 said: Kuchera Expand @WinterWxLuvr look at this map. Way more of a textbook look for a snowstorm with that CVA/i81 gettin in on the action. This could take on a 1/30/2010 type of evolution. Can’t hate what the gfs just did and h5 by 24 hrs showed we were gonna like it 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 It was plain as day from h5 that that was coming. I don’t think this trend can be ignored now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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