WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Snow for the VA capes? Can we get a late north trend for the metros? 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Why would you do this… Happy New Year, y’all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Agree with Fx. Now SE Va is screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 18z long range HRRR is a good hit for the cities 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 So... the HRRR extended is a good thing to trust... right?... right? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Wait this is genius, when we start threads most of the time the storms trend north to screw us over. So now it will trend north. Flawless logic. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Hello Dc 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Sending you guys good juju from the North. 5 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Minor changes early on the Nam but the SS sw is slower and that NS sw is weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Nam is trash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, LP08 said: Minor changes early on the Nam but the SS sw is slower and that NS sw is weaker. No precip north of the NC border on the 12k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 The NAM hasn't even been in the neighborhood for this storm. The only model that hasn't came NW or even been close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 No precip north of the NC border on the 12k. I’m sure this is a point that has been echoed by many before, but the fact that we have so much guidance at this point only muddies the waters. So many possible outcomes and scenarios that all feel legitimate… you trick yourself into thinking that the 48hr HRRR could be right just once. That said, the NAM looks to be against the growing consensus. I wouldn’t be fretting too much in SEVA over it, though it’s a flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’m sure this is a point that has been echoed by many before, but the fact that we have so much guidance at this point only muddies the waters. So many possible outcomes and scenarios that all feel legitimate… you trick yourself into thinking that the 48hr HRRR could be right just once. That said, the NAM looks to be against the growing consensus. I wouldn’t be fretting too much in SEVA over it, though it’s a flag. Definitely to much available. Kids are napping so I had some free time haha. I don’t have much hope up here but I think EZF southward looks promising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 WB 18Z 3K NAM v. HRRR at 12Z Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 WB 18Z 3K NAM v. HRRR at 12Z Mon.At least we can feel confident it’ll be sleeting in Williamsburg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 WB 3K NAM…red flag. It was last year on several storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Smh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 NAM has basically no surface feature, while GFS/CMC/Euro/HRRR all have a coastal popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: NAM has basically no surface feature, while GFS/CMC/Euro/HRRR all have a coastal popping. NAM is further south and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: NAM Key word of your post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Key word of your postI’d take more from the NAM inside 48 than the extended HRRR 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: NAM is further south and weaker. I am not saying that the NAM is correct. I am just saying as we are within 48 hours it can’t just be tossed because it shows a poor outcome. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’d take more from the NAM inside 48 than the extended HRRR Crazy talk. The nam is Andy Cohen last night. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Icon is a bit better. Gets precipitation up through the northern neck and into La Plata 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 WB 18Z ICON 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Man if the NAM is correct it's gonna make most of the global and meso models look bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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