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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

18Z CMC is a best case for ENY and CNY. The slp more or less stalls over or just south of LI/SNE, maybe a bit of a cyclonic loop indicated from about 108-120 hrs as cyclone rapidly deepens.  There is a HP to the north, 1032 mb initially near James Bay and it doesn't exactly run away, slides a bit ENE towards NWF and actually strengthens a few mb by end of 120hrs.  Dunno if it's right and didn't look at upper levels. The H500 energy is probably synced up better on this CMC run than other model runs, pulling the slp closer to coast.

No idea if it's correct of course.

GFS and CMC couldn't be any further apart lol

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7 minutes ago, brentrich said:

Cold is here to stay in next 2 weeks and no end in sight. Feb 2015 repeat? 

WHAT? looks no where near a feb 2015 pattern with that type of cold here from what I'm seeing. Does look gradient like but not the cold that february had. First big system to watch would be next thurs-sat period. That could have some ptype issues

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16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Looks like there's some nice cold behind it? You could go speed skiing on the ice afterwards?;)

That summarizes our last 2 ski trips to Stowe.

One day of above freezing temps on soft snow, a little rain, followed by a dive below zero and the whole mountain freezing solid.

Our luck when we go there has been so bad that we gave up.  The long drive and the crazy expense just haven't been worth it for us.

Hopefully Dave's trip will be better.

 

 

 

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