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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Wpc this morning did place a low chance for 4"+ in and around buffalo..They also had a small area of moderate tomorrow, looks like Hannibal/Fulton area..

 

day1_psnow_gt_04_conus (5).gif

day2_psnow_gt_04_conus (9).gif

I needed a magnifying glass to see that. What is that showing, the Tops parking lot in Fulton?

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1 hour ago, tim123 said:

Screenshot_20220124-160700_Samsung Internet.jpg

18Z CMC is a best case for ENY and CNY. The slp more or less stalls over or just south of LI/SNE, maybe a bit of a cyclonic loop indicated from about 108-120 hrs as cyclone rapidly deepens.  There is a HP to the north, 1032 mb initially near James Bay and it doesn't exactly run away, slides a bit ENE towards NWF and actually strengthens a few mb by end of 120hrs.  Dunno if it's right and didn't look at upper levels. The H500 energy is probably synced up better on this CMC run than other model runs, pulling the slp closer to coast.

No idea if it's correct of course.

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