rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Coefficient actually showing the R/S line moving north again. The models did well with this but were probably a little too far SE. Gonna be a wet vs white night here in Rochester. Hopefully we get into some backside stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 With this weekend's event and IF this was to take place this way...there would be more than just snow dustings melting across the Northeast this week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Trust me. It’s 90% rain in Rochester. Anything but deep, solid red is rain or mix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Trust me. It’s 90% rain in Rochester. Anything but deep, solid red is rain or mix. Looking at the Jines restaurant webcam, it looks like it's snowing pretty good with a coating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Looks just wet to me. Looks like sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 The report from the Rochester airport at 0430Z is visibility 2 SM in light snow. The temperature has fallen to freezing. 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looking at the Jines restaurant webcam, it looks like it's snowing pretty good with a coating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Looks just wet to me. Looks like sleet Play the video on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Looks just wet to me. Looks like sleet Check out the other one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Park Ave. cam: Rochester, New York | Park Avenue Cam | RochesterWebcam.com | Live Webcams from Rochester, New York USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Cmc still gives a glancing blow to upstate late week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 My biggest concern is watching that big dry slot, per usual, forming over the Finger Lakes and moving north. That will cause the large gradient in snowfall amounts. And, naturally, it's moving swiftly north and Syracuse will atleast fall under that dry slot. Not sure about you guys in Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 over to snow, 31 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 32.5 here with light rain, not really worried about any icing yet with the warm surface temps today but if it continues overnight we could see some glazing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: 32.5 here with light rain, not really worried about any icing yet with the warm surface temps today but if it continues overnight we could see some glazing.. Looks like the changeover line is around Oswego? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: over to snow, 31 Actually some ip still mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Actually some ip still mixed in The other side of the Tug from you if you want to add it to your bookmarks: (another one of my favorite webcams) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 24 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks like the changeover line is around Oswego? Yeah somewhere around there..WU showing mainly a mix for W Oswego county at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Cicero NY 12:30 AM 35.8 degrees I'll take a 1-2 or 1-3 tomorrow gladly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Looking upstream and overhead, it looks like it's just moving too much due Northeast, and not enough easterly movement. Toledo, Oh was supposed to be the southern boundary of the banding. It looks like the precip. is well north of them. For here, the changeover line has stalled just to the west. I have my doubts. Happy watching and enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The other side of the Tug from you if you want to add it to your bookmarks: (another one of my favorite webcams) yea drum is in a good spot for this event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Canadian Ensemble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looking upstream and overhead, it looks like it's just moving too much due Northeast, and not enough easterly movement. Toledo, Oh was supposed to be the southern boundary of the banding. It looks like the precip. is well north of them. For here, the changeover line has stalled just to the west. I have my doubts. Happy watching and enjoy! Looking at the Buffalo radar it looks like most of western NY is snowing and this is moving eastward. I just dropped a couple degrees to 34 and Fulton is now reporting ZR at 32 after a period of IP which tells me there right on the edge of flipping. I expect to see snow in the air when I get up in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Looking at the Buffalo radar it looks like most of western NY is snowing and this is moving eastward. I just dropped a couple degrees to 34 and Fulton is now reporting ZR at 32 after a period of IP which tells me there right on the edge of flipping. I expect to see snow in the air when I get up in the morning. It's 33 degrees here and I definitely don't see it getting warmer. I just hope that precip and the cold air can break through the Finger Lakes forcefield. I just took the garbage to the dumpster and it seems to be just rain atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 I dunno, with the coastal storm backing nw with every model run it’s pushing the main precip axis shield further nw and slowing cold air push of mid levels. Had a feeling mid levels would be an issue tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Fulton back to UP and I’ve dropped to 33. Hang in there, we’ll flip eventually. I was never expecting a lot of snow from this so if I see an inch or two I’ll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro looks to be way nw of gfs for next storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2022 Author Share Posted January 2, 2022 GEFS for next week, lots of spread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 2, 2022 Share Posted January 2, 2022 Euro a solid hit for most. It's a fast mover though, in and out in under 12 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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