Ericjcrash Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 "Only" got down to -10° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Sub_Zero said: Chilly morning up here -30 F I’ve witnessed blizzards, heat waves over 100 degrees, tropical systems, severe weather of all types…but I’ve never experienced cold like that. That’s something I would like to feel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sammy6 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 got to -12 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 5 degrees here this morning, gross. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 More Cold!!! More!!! More!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 I don’t think anyone knows for certain what happens in 2 weeks. But I’ll be skiing in the east so a big thaw is very likely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: 6z GFS just made me puke in my mouth. But those of you NE of the lakes will probably have a different opinion. Total parade of north running clippers. Gross. The tracks of almost every low pressure this season have been AWFUL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 little finger of LES moving over 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 2 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: ...Accumulating lake snows possible Saturday night northeast and east of both lakes... A clipper low and its associated cold front will near the region late Saturday afternoon and evening. The cold front will then quickly work from west to east across the area Saturday night. Lake snows will then develop off both lakes as colder air rushes in behind the front with 850 hPa dropping off to -14C/-15C. BUFKIT profiles show equilibrium levels will briefly rise to 8K feet with enough moisture extending through the DGZ. That said, the concern will be residence time over any given location. Guidance (Canadian- NH/RGEM) suggests that the Lake Erie band will waffle around a bit before settling well to the south across far S. Erie and Chautauqua Co. on Sunday Off Lake Ontario, a fairly decent band is advertised to form which then slowly drops south across Jefferson, Lewis, and then Oswego Co Saturday night into Sunday. Considering that liquid water/snow rations will approach 20:1 or even higher advisory level snows seem easily obtainable. Cant`even rule out low end warning amounts despite the short residence time of the bands off both lakes. Right now, it still looks like Lake Ontario will have the best shot at producing warning snowfall. Off Erie, lighter amounts are anticipated due to the advertised band waffling around before it moves south. Will mention the lake effect snow potential in the HWO for now. mmmmm Waffles… Yeah RGEM looks pretty good for just south of Buffalo. It wavers the band a little and stalls it out for awhile compared to previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Measly - 1.3 this morning in Cicero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: 5 degrees here this morning, gross. Was -6 at my house, rose to 0 as I got to transit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 28 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: little finger of LES moving over Little fresh fluff to set up a cold night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Congrats Watertown.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Got down to -8.4° this morning. Euro showing -20s here Saturday AM. If we ain't snowin, give me the SER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 At this rate, and the impending "doom and gloom" of a terrible February, I wonder if SYR will register the least snowy winter on record. BORING winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 That's close to lake effect snow warning for me and @lakeeffectkid383 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Saturday Night Snow showers, mainly after 10pm. Low around 19. Southwest wind around 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That's close to lake effect snow warning for me and @lakeeffectkid383 Great January for you Buffalo and Niagara Frontier guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Great January for you Buffalo and Niagara Frontier guys. The southtowns crew got 90% of the synoptic, but lost out on the LES a couple weeks ago. I hope this one overperforms in Hamburg/OP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: At this rate, and the impending "doom and gloom" of a terrible February, I wonder if SYR will register the least snowy winter on record. BORING winter. The odds favor very low snowfall at this point. Entire NE mountains too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Saturday Night Snow showers, mainly after 10pm. Low around 19. Southwest wind around 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Must be on a 250/255 flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 18 minutes ago, WNash said: The southtowns crew got 90% of the synoptic, but lost out on the LES a couple weeks ago. I hope this one overperforms in Hamburg/OP. The southtowns crew did not get the 90% of the synoptic, the northtowns were over 20” in most cases and almost 2 feet in parts of Niagara county. Might have your storms confused? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: The southtowns crew did not get the 90% of the synoptic, the northtowns were over 20” in most cases and almost 2 feet in parts of Niagara county. Might have your storms confused? I measured 16.2" here, most of the southtowns got 14-18". We also had that surprise event back in December with 6-9" of LES. The last LES event was a pretty big bust here as winds were too strong, had a little over 4" in that one. Hasn't been great, but not terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That's close to lake effect snow warning for me and @lakeeffectkid383 Still holding out for the stall to kick in a few more ticks north. Slowly trending a slight bit more north with the bullseye but we shall see. Even if we only end up with 2-3” as it sinks southward it should be a nice quick hitter to freshen up the snow pack! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Wpc as of now..D2&3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Once again lake Ontario is stealing all the snow lol Better chance of 4" on the water than land D3.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 LOL... check out the abyssacuse. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Once again lake Ontario is stealing all the snow lol Better chance of 4" on the water than land D3.. I love how they color in the water for those maps lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I love how they color in the water for those maps lol Hey, gotta make sure those living on their boats know how much they might have to shovel off their deck... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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