TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 33 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Meso low weather. One moving ashore near IAG. Oh, yay...just where they DONT' need anymore snow... The Niagara Frontier sure has had a great winter compared to normal and many other places in Upstate NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Rgem showing a bit of a WNW flow bringing some light lake effect over the next 24 hours and then a nice looking band Sunday night. That would be a nice little hit...but 3 days away, so lots can change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Mood snows throughout the day here, with a light snow falling right now. I'd say between half an inch and an inch has fallen throughout the duration of the day. Might be more like a collection of 10 dustings? Looking at the 18Z GFS, I just can't believe with all this cold air we still have lows going to our north and swooping up mild air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Mood snows throughout the day here, with a light snow falling right now. I'd say between half an inch and an inch has fallen throughout the duration of the day. Might be more like a collection of 10 dustings? Looking at the 18Z GFS, I just can't believe with all this cold air we still have lows going to our north and swooping up mild air. I'd say here in Cicero, a trace all day, if that. In the last few moments somewhat better mood flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, sferic said: I'd say here in Cicero, a trace all day, if that. In the last few moments somewhat better mood flakes We had a really nice burst come through this morning that dropped about a half inch in about 20 minutes and then the rest of the day was pixie dust showers and flurries mixed with sunshine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Pattern on weeklies goes similar to what we had back in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern on weeklies goes similar to what we had back in December Thoughts on Sunday and early next week? Doesn’t look epic by any means, but maybe a respectable LES event or two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern on weeklies goes similar to what we had back in December only positive is golf weather but a warm February will probably mean a late comeback for winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Looks like Niagara on the Lake, Ontario and Niagara County, NY are getting a nice snowfall. Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario - Queen Street | FirstWebcam.com | Live Webcams from Firstwebcam.com 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks like Niagara on the Lake, Ontario and Niagara County, NY are getting a nice snowfall. Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario - Queen Street | FirstWebcam.com | Live Webcams from Firstwebcam.com St. Catherine’s, Ontario is reporting a visibility of 1 1/2 miles so nothing really heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: St. Catherine’s, Ontario is reporting a visibility of 1 1/2 miles so nothing really heavy. I didn't say anything heavy. I just said nice (which is vague and can be interpreted differently). I've noticed you almost having a "corrective" tone in your replies to me (a temperature different of a degree, or a different dewpoint reading at SYR.) Any particular reason, or are you too just reporting observations? I would say there is a nice snowfall falling here actually. Pretty, sparkly flakes with a new fresh covering since an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 44 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pattern on weeklies goes similar to what we had back in December If it can get pushed back a week or two I’d like it. Getting married end of march so an early spring is what I’m hoping for lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: If it can get pushed back a week or two I’d like it. Getting married end of march so an early spring is what I’m hoping for lol Congrats on your engagement and impending wedding! Still, I say NO to an early Spring. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 46 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: St. Catherine’s, Ontario is reporting a visibility of 1 1/2 miles so nothing really heavy. We have about an inch of fluff here in the past 2 hours. Low density fake snow but hey, not gonna get to 100" any other way... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Thoughts on Sunday and early next week? Doesn’t look epic by any means, but maybe a respectable LES event or two? Potential for a few inches, don't expect much more as the winds are shifting so quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Potential for a few inches, don't expect much more as the winds are shifting so quickly. Not the best year for Ontario. Really hate to see it smh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks like Niagara on the Lake, Ontario and Niagara County, NY are getting a nice snowfall. Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario - Queen Street | FirstWebcam.com | Live Webcams from Firstwebcam.com Full blown mid winter on that cam right there. This cold stuff is for the birds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Not the best year for Ontario. Really hate to see it smh. Too cold=too dry. We need an in between. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Dusting in Cicero as of 10:15PM obviously Clay around 8 miles to my west does well ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: I didn't say anything heavy. I just said nice (which is vague and can be interpreted differently). I've noticed you almost having a "corrective" tone in your replies to me (a temperature different of a degree, or a different dewpoint reading at SYR.) Any particular reason, or are you too just reporting observations? I would say there is a nice snowfall falling here actually. Pretty, sparkly flakes with a new fresh covering since an hour ago. It’s not my intention to be “corrective “ but to add some quantitative observations to the commentary. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Full blown mid winter on that cam right there. This cold stuff is for the birds. Yes, it is a very wintry shot. I love that webcam. I've never been to that community, but the webcam definitely showcases what looks like a small town atmosphere. I've enjoyed checking it out and seeing the scene there when there are events going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Looks like some Mexico Bay returns showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Snowing lightly in Cicero and not a spec on Radarscope or NexRad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Cloud cover is keeping us on the"warmer" side so far, forecast low is -11 which is going to be hard to accomplish if we don't clear out lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Wpc and rgem for Saturday night/Sunday. Kbuf mentioned 20/1 SLR so it could be decent in and around bWatertown..Solid chance of a few/several inches Imby as it stands now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 ...Accumulating lake snows possible Saturday night northeast and east of both lakes... A clipper low and its associated cold front will near the region late Saturday afternoon and evening. The cold front will then quickly work from west to east across the area Saturday night. Lake snows will then develop off both lakes as colder air rushes in behind the front with 850 hPa dropping off to -14C/-15C. BUFKIT profiles show equilibrium levels will briefly rise to 8K feet with enough moisture extending through the DGZ. That said, the concern will be residence time over any given location. Guidance (Canadian- NH/RGEM) suggests that the Lake Erie band will waffle around a bit before settling well to the south across far S. Erie and Chautauqua Co. on Sunday Off Lake Ontario, a fairly decent band is advertised to form which then slowly drops south across Jefferson, Lewis, and then Oswego Co Saturday night into Sunday. Considering that liquid water/snow rations will approach 20:1 or even higher advisory level snows seem easily obtainable. Cant`even rule out low end warning amounts despite the short residence time of the bands off both lakes. Right now, it still looks like Lake Ontario will have the best shot at producing warning snowfall. Off Erie, lighter amounts are anticipated due to the advertised band waffling around before it moves south. Will mention the lake effect snow potential in the HWO for now. mmmmm Waffles… 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 Chilly morning up here -30 F 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 6z GFS just made me puke in my mouth. But those of you NE of the lakes will probably have a different opinion. Total parade of north running clippers. Gross. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, Sub_Zero said: Chilly morning up here -30 F That's too damn cold lol. 3 above in my neck of the woods and that is too damn cold to me haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 21, 2022 Share Posted January 21, 2022 -23 here 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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