Syrmax Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 38F here. KSYZZLE also at 38F. The airport seems to track more closely with surrounding reports when it's windy and/or large scale temp advection is occurring. Just my general ob. I think i saw a stray flake and clouds look dark to my north where radar shows some returns attm, but dry otherwise. We shouldn't see much if any melt today, maybe some compaction with limited duration warmup and overcast conditions. Thinking 2-3" overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, sferic said: @crossbowftw3 btw, Liberty has more snow OTG than here where I am now in Cicero ( around 8-10 miles north of Syracuse) Was a nice positive bust, everywhere around here got at least 6-8” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 38F here. KSYZZLE also at 38F. The airport seems to track more closely with surrounding reports when it's windy and/or large scale temp advection is occurring. Just my general ob. I think i saw a stray flake and clouds look dark to my north where radar shows some returns attm, but dry otherwise. We shouldn't see much if any melt today, maybe some compaction with limited duration warmup and overcast conditions. Thinking 2-3" overnight. Hopefully something similar 8 miles to your east in Cicero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, crossbowftw3 said: Was a nice positive bust, everywhere around here got at least 6-8” My cameras showed me, even my long island home did well too last week. Trust me, Sullivan County due for 2 feet and Onondaga nada, I'd be in SC in a flash 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 38F here. KSYZZLE also at 38F. The airport seems to track more closely with surrounding reports when it's windy and/or large scale temp advection is occurring. Just my general ob. I think i saw a stray flake and clouds look dark to my north where radar shows some returns attm, but dry otherwise. We shouldn't see much if any melt today, maybe some compaction with limited duration warmup and overcast conditions. Thinking 2-3" overnight. Agree with everything and same conditions. Dewpoint nice and low around 20 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 48 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Agree with everything and same conditions. Dewpoint nice and low around 20 degrees. Dew point is 23 at the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Couldn’t help but notice the clipper pattern for next week is all over the place. The 0z; 6z and 12z are all very different for next Tuesday in regards to placement of the clipper. What concerns me is it shifting north of us again like thus mornings LP and we get into this 3 days of dry Arctic and one day of upper 30’s and mix precip. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 41 at KBUF, allowed me to get my driveway down to pavement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This pattern could very well produce something (pop out in the models) that we can track with in the next week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 About 5'' of new snow today and currently 6 F, up from -5 this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Couldn’t help but notice the clipper pattern for next week is all over the place. The 0z; 6z and 12z are all very different for next Tuesday in regards to placement of the clipper. What concerns me is it shifting north of us again like thus mornings LP and we get into this 3 days of dry Arctic and one day of upper 30’s and mix precip. 12z GFS shows the biggest clipper on the 26th doing that now with another brief thaw like today. The positive is models still aren't showing much signs of a huge warmup like most seem to think will happen in February-April yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Working nights this week, but damn what a cold 0z Euro run....almost every night below zero some way below. Big negative departure for the month here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 44° and mostly sunny skies at this hour. Feels like late March. Solid melting in progress. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Euro has a strong clipper followed by decent snowstorm next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 45 minutes ago, Sub_Zero said: About 5'' of new snow today and currently 6 F, up from -5 this morning. Wow, different world up there! What’s your current snow depth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Yeah was just posting that BW.. Euro overall decent, couple quick hitting fronts/LES, more of a region wide synoptic event D 6ish.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Sneaky potential on Sunday for a few inches too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 That Euro run, while not heavy with snow, is one of the best ones I've seen so far this season. Plus, it's not accounting for higher ratios. Would love for that to happen, as it's only til next Wednesday and is in closer range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Sunday is looking like a "transition" band but it still could be solid east of the lakes if it moves slow enough lol Or gets hung up a little.. A cold front pushes through the region Sunday into Sunday with 850mb temperatures getting back down close to -20C. Have a chance for lake effect snow showers across CNY, especially by afternoon (if current timing holds). The lake effect looks to start on a west-southwest flow, then drop south by Sunday night as the flow backs more northwest. Temperatures should be more seasonable on Sunday, with highs mainly 25 to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 37 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Euro has a strong clipper followed by decent snowstorm next week. Yes that was the 6z GFS. They switched places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Good ol' Sizzlecuse. The temp just keeps pumping up and up. Every time I think it's hit its max temp, it goes up another degree. The one thing this city CAN count on to overperform is warmth. I knew when I saw 38 degrees for the high that we would work towards almost the mid 40s. Always 5 degrees warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 19 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Good ol' Sizzlecuse. The temp just keeps pumping up and up. Every time I think it's hit its max temp, it goes up another degree. The one thing this city CAN count on to overperform is warmth. I knew when I saw 38 degrees for the high that we would work towards almost the mid 40s. Always 5 degrees warmer. It’s not like the difference between 40 and 44 means snow vs rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: It’s not like the difference between 40 and 44 means snow vs rain. True. It does make a difference in rate of melting. But thankfully with low dewpoints, I think that has been limited? I find it both fascinating (and of course irritating as the winter weenie I am) how much the Thruway corridor in NY torches due to a Southerly wind...even with a solid, dense snowpack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Seems like a bit more than what our offices are talking about, but a fresh 4 to 6 inches would be nice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I think the front is coming through now or close to it..Wind starting to pick up.. From 6° late last night to 40° currently.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Colder air aloft will also move in tonight, with 850mb temperatures dropping to about -17c by daybreak Thursday. By late evening it should be cold enough for a lake response. This will be best defined off Lake Ontario when a secondary front drops south across the lake late tonight. Expect a band to develop southeast of Lake Ontario tonight as this front sweeps up any available moisture. This band will quickly push south of the lake by daybreak, producing a quick burst of snow with a quick inch or two possible. After this there will not be much moisture available Thursday, with light disorganized lake snows likely southeast of Lake Ontario during the day. Expecting a total of 2-4 inches from Wayne to Oswego counties tonight and Thursday. Some light snow showers possible south of Lake Ontario from Niagara to Monroe counties with accumulation mainly an inch or less. A cold front will track across the region Sunday as a clipper system moves north of New England. Northwest flow behind the front and 850mb temperatures falling to near -14C will yield another round of lake effect snow east/southeast of the Lakes into Monday. This round will be brief as surface high pressure tracks across the central Appalachians. Both the 12z GFS and 12z EC have come to a better agreement that an area of low pressure will track near, if not across the region Monday night into Tuesday. Widespread snow is possible with lake enhancement behind it. There is still question if a southern stream feature may phase with the northern stream as they approach the east coast. Temperatures will remain below normal during the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I think the front is coming through now or close to it..Wind starting to pick up.. From 6° late last night to 40° currently.. Wind has shifted to out of the west/northwest here now. Also has picked up pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 That arctic front should be pretty strong on Sunday. I'd expect a pretty strong Lake enhanced band to drift from north to south. Even low res GFS is showing it, something to watch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Snowiest Januarys in Buffalo. Right now we are at 44.6". About to crack the top 10 with 13 days left. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now