tim123 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Takes it up into east central pa looks like. Sneeks in some mid level warming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I may be mistaken, since it's been a long time since we've had a Miller A, but doesn't the general modelling trends/biases usually start SE, then NW and SE correction 1-2 days before? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Ouch lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: Ouch lol Dynamic cooling would keep WNY in the snow, my opinion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Tt has all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The H500 wave is noticeably further west on 12z Euro vs 0z thru H81. Probably going to mean a further W track down stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 the way the it goes from mid Mississippi to southern costal Georgia in one frame lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 What a juiced system... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro looks to be a epic run. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Come to papa… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Looks close to the GFS. WNY gonna get the best this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 18 minutes ago, vortmax said: I may be mistaken, since it's been a long time since we've had a Miller A, but doesn't the general modelling trends/biases usually start SE, then NW and SE correction 1-2 days before? Exactly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Come to papa… Whoa Mama! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Looks close to the GFS. WNY gonna get the best this run. Damn I might need to drive up on Sunday. Original plan was to be in Upstate by next Friday. At the very least should be a solid snowpack by the time I get there on Friday after the storm (assuming nothing changes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro jumped 100 miles NW. Heaviest band is only 50 miles wide. With ratios that would be a 1-2' snowstorm for most of us. Gives us some wiggle room for the last minutes shift NW too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Look at that band 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, SnowLover22 said: Damn I might need to drive up on Sunday. Original plan was to be in Upstate by next Friday. 2, 3 days ago this was threatening a run on Bermuda. I'm holding my powder till Friday 12Z runs to get too excited. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Looks like a hand gun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: Looks like a hand gun. Model bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: 2, 3 days ago this was threatening a run on Bermuda. I'm holding my powder till Friday 12Z runs to get too excited. If the Bills win and we get a 2' snowstorm for all I'd donate @rochesterdavelast nut 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: Looks like a hand gun. Or an F for F I'm jealous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just like the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Gotta see kutchie maps on that. Some lake snow behind it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 I know it's not just about temps but 850s for the start of the event are -3 to -5, as the event unfolds ratios would get better I think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The heavy snow stays JUST to the NW of Philly, NYC and Boston. Ouch. Classic look though. I’m with Buf- this would be 1-2’ for everyone between Buffalo and Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Just like the UKIE Well, a lot of AMWX gets plowable snow out of this solution. Other than most of i-95. It would be a throwback storm to the 1990s. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 GEM finally came through 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: I know it's not just about temps but 850s for the start of the event are -3 to -5, as the event unfolds ratios would get better I think.. Plenty cold. The Canadian doesn’t make much sense with THAT much warmth in the cold sector. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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