BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 Off lake Erie earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Finally get a pattern change and still no synoptic storms. We will get em just in time for spring in April may. When it will rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 Maybe some ne flow lake snow over next weekend. And before that sw flow for you buffalo peeps. Kinda sneaky pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 40 minutes ago, tim123 said: Finally get a pattern change and still no synoptic storms. We will get em just in time for spring in April may. When it will rain. Congrats Atlanta on 18Z GFS for the weekend system. The way that has been trending it looks like Miami should get a decent snowfall this weekend. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 On 1/9/2022 at 12:20 PM, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Wednesday? KBUF: LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A ridge of high pressure along the east coast will provide a dry start for the day Wednesday, with a southwesterly return flow also bringing warmer weather. RGEM: Wednesday is still holding my attention. KBUF really does not seem overly interested but the RGEM keeps playing this up run after run. Nothing impressive but wants to keep a lake band over BUF most of the day Wednesday. Specs all look marginal at best but the fact the RGEM is keeping this in play bears some watching! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Current Bills game weather forecast. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 18. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 EPS. Some worry about -PNA returning sometime in early February, but no concern as of next few weeks. Still looks good, if only we can get the timing right on one of these waves. It's been a synoptic desert this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 RGEM picking out sneaky event for Buffalo on Weds, temps are marginal. Not cold enough for lake effect, but cold enough for lake enhanced. Spits out .90 of QPF, low ratios for Lake enhanced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Type of set up even roc can get a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: RGEM picking out sneaky event for Buffalo on Weds, temps are marginal. Not cold enough for lake effect, but cold enough for lake enhanced. Spits out .90 of QPF, low ratios for Lake enhanced. Hey, get those low ratio snows and then freeze them over at night. Our lake enhanced snowfall from yesterday was barely touched by the sun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Watch the loop on that. Well your all saying the RGEM is the LES king… let’s see if it can run with this one. Showing warning level snow across central Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 NAM has an event for Thursday too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Rgem, Nam, and GFS do. Looks like many of us could get a nice little "refresher" snowfall. Perhaps it'll keep getting better looking and juicier as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Watch the loop on that. Well your all saying the RGEM is the LES king… let’s see if it can run with this one. Showing warning level snow across central Erie. I think the RGEM busts on weds. I guess we will see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 The new high Rez is loading now but 18z had a band forming, marginal verbatim for WNY.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 Theres our synoptic storm, in Georgia. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Theres our synoptic storm, in Georgia. Big snows for carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Actually come close as it moves up coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: Big snows for carolinas. Thats what happens in the snowbelts. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMikeWx Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Actually come close as it moves up coast. Wow that 00z GFS model actually slams us down here for 10-12.. what the heck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 N and S stream phased in just in time to suck it in and brush the I81 corridor verbatim. Lots of phasing potential in the ensemble spreads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Hope we can phase a touch sooner. Get some lake enhanced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 We will get one. This pattern is ripe. The GFS is a great sign. Like Tim said, we just need it to phase a little quicker. Or retrograde further. I think either is possible. That HP is blocking. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Theres our synoptic storm, in Georgia. It's heading for Jamestown....................... South Carolina. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Dream storm is up Hudson Valley and stall or retrograde in northern NY. Remember those dave? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: N and S stream phased in just in time to suck it in and brush the I81 corridor verbatim. Lots of phasing potential in the ensemble spreads. That's a good look for a lot of folks. Closed h500 contours south of this latitude just off the coast. Euro was showing something similar a few runs ago. Then backed off. More changes coming from models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 So cold cmc model froze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Dream storm is up Hudson Valley and stall or retrograde in northern NY. Remember those dave? Yep. Been a couple years… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 GEFS are mostly misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Cmc ensembles are mostly duds as well. That said, the H500 maps continue to look completely different from run to run with lots of waves running around all over the place. Still time for something to materialize. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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