Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,587
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


Recommended Posts

On 1/9/2022 at 12:20 PM, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Wednesday?  
 

KBUF:

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A ridge of high pressure along the east coast will provide a dry start for the day Wednesday, with a southwesterly return flow also bringing warmer weather.

 

RGEM:

 

874DDBE1-99DA-45DB-A473-D717ACC29D95.gif

Wednesday is still holding my attention.  KBUF really does not seem overly interested but the RGEM keeps playing this up run after run.  Nothing impressive but wants to keep a lake band over BUF most of the day Wednesday.  Specs all look marginal at best but the fact the  RGEM is keeping this in play bears some watching!  

C643D4CC-8753-4109-8BB8-9299B1BFFABF.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

RGEM picking out sneaky event for Buffalo on Weds, temps are marginal. Not cold enough for lake effect, but cold enough for lake enhanced.

Spits out .90 of QPF, low ratios for Lake enhanced.

qpf_acc.us_ne.png

 

Hey, get those low ratio snows and then freeze them over at night. Our lake enhanced snowfall from yesterday was barely touched by the sun today.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

N and S stream phased in just in time to suck it in and brush the I81 corridor verbatim. Lots of phasing potential in the ensemble spreads.

gfs-deterministic-east-vort500_z500-2334400.thumb.png.70900b54ae4d80048ea8a8fbc1f53416.pnggfs-deterministic-east-vort500_z500-2377600.thumb.png.81af20e703247141a3e7b3593578ca61.pnggfs-deterministic-east-vort500_z500-2410000.thumb.png.1b54ea5e40887581fc831761d96093ea.png

That's a good look for a lot of folks.  Closed h500 contours south of this latitude just off the coast.  Euro was showing something similar a few runs ago. Then backed off.  More changes coming from models.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...