tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That multi-lake connection (combined with an arctic front)...one of the best for dumping on us south and ESE of the lake. Maybe some thunder too. It really looks super intense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Looks like a great convergence zone on south shore. Nnw winds over lake wsw winds on land. May only last a couple hours but from Orleans county to wayne county could get 4 to 6 inches in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 00Z EC...next weekend. Looks juicy AF!! Snowfall is 24H total at 192 hrs...10:1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 00Z EC...next weekend. Looks juicy AF!! Snowfall is 24H total at 192 hrs...10:1 You beat me to it! Ha. I got woken up by sleet hitting the window, so figured I'd do a weather check. Chunky glaze on everything outside...very slight crust on top of the snow. I saw that Euro run and am happy to see it's holding hands with the Canadian. Hopefully this will be a consistent, locked in system for next weekend! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 25° and freezing rain Imby 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 00Z has more goodies at end of run...240H it want to do it again. Let's hope it really is The King... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Gotta figure usually we go other way and get smoked. Usually. Thats how climate works. A measure of extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 19 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 00Z EC...next weekend. Looks juicy AF!! Snowfall is 24H total at 192 hrs...10:1 Love to see the kutchie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 hours ago, tim123 said: Looks like a great convergence zone on south shore. Nnw winds over lake wsw winds on land. May only last a couple hours but from Orleans county to wayne county could get 4 to 6 inches in a couple hours. IDK. I can’t remember the sweep ever giving us more than 1-2”. Not a fan of this set up for south shore. It’s gonna really fly and be windy too. Crazy for an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: 00Z has more goodies at end of run...240H it want to do it again. Let's hope it really is The King... This pattern is loaded! Really like our odds. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 18 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This pattern is loaded! Really like our odds. Loaded with dog turds 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 This was the 0z Canadian for Sunday AM posterity. The GFS doesn’t see it but 2 out of 3 ain’t bad at this range. With next weekend being a 3 day weekend for many, it would be fun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 43 minutes ago, 96blizz said: This was the 0z Canadian for Sunday AM posterity. The GFS doesn’t see it but 2 out of 3 ain’t bad at this range. With next weekend being a 3 day weekend for many, it would be fun! This gives me pause. The GFS has been the superior model to this point so far. Hopefully the CMC and Euro are in to something more substantial as I watch a good chunk of the 10” snows I received wash down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 32 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: This gives me pause. The GFS has been the superior model to this point so far. Hopefully the CMC and Euro are in to something more substantial as I watch a good chunk of the 10” snows I received wash down the drain. Growing up in New Jersey, I’ve learned to have pause until the event is over. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, tim123 said: Lol. For 10 days? Looks low to me, especially especially of L. Ontario. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 9 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: For 10 days? Looks low to me, especially especially of L. Ontario. Ohhh...a double especially. The King is confident. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 The low elevation of the lake plain and its connection to the torrent of warmth that moves up the west side of the Apps kills me. Low 40s out in Western NY while it's an Ice Storm 100s of miles to the SE. How's your snowpack holding up? Mine has compacted to 6 or 7 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, 96blizz said: Growing up in New Jersey, I’ve learned to have pause until the event is over. Preach! I'm only mildly pessimistic for this week. EC and GEM/RGEM strutting around with their high heels and fishnets on at 00Z trying to lure in the weenies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The low elevation of the lake plain and its connection to the torrent of warmth that moves up the west side of the Apps kills me. Low 40s out in Western NY while it's an Ice Storm 100s of miles to the SE. How's your snowpack holding up? Mine has compacted to 6 or 7 inches. Lucky to have 2” of absolute slop that’s going to turn into a glacier overnight. Will look absolutely putrid out until we can get some fresh on top 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: This gives me pause. The GFS has been the superior model to this point so far. Hopefully the CMC and Euro are in to something more substantial as I watch a good chunk of the 10” snows I received wash down the drain. Uh...the GFS utterly puked on the coastal this last Friday. The Euro verified from 6 days out almost to a T. The GFS didnt correct until 48 hrs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 True euro actually was better with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: True euro actually was better with that storm. So there’s a chance? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Lucky to have 2” of absolute slop that’s going to turn into a glacier overnight. Will look absolutely putrid out until we can get some fresh on top Yuck. Wow, you had ten inches, right? That fluff gets obliterated quickly; especially with rising dewpoints, which I see are in the upper 30s there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 30 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The low elevation of the lake plain and its connection to the torrent of warmth that moves up the west side of the Apps kills me. Low 40s out in Western NY while it's an Ice Storm 100s of miles to the SE. How's your snowpack holding up? Mine has compacted to 6 or 7 inches. 4.5" otg with .2" of ice covering it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Look familiar. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, tim123 said: Look familiar. LOL...if that happened, there is no more hope for a true synoptic snowstorm here anymore. Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2022 Author Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Yuck. Wow, you had ten inches, right? That fluff gets obliterated quickly; especially with rising dewpoints, which I see are in the upper 30s there. I didn't even snowblow my driveway because I knew the warmup and rain were coming. It's all gone and I saved an hour of snowblowing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Yuck. Wow, you had ten inches, right? That fluff gets obliterated quickly; especially with rising dewpoints, which I see are in the upper 30s there. That 10” was really down to about 4-5 after 1 day or do with how much air was in it. It settled quickly and the ground beneath wasn’t completely frozen so I noticed it was soft snow near the ground. Add it up and we subtracted a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 Gfs12z has hardly anything over the next 10 days besides tomorrow obviously.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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