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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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22 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

9 degrees in Caz.   Picked up an inch last night/this morning... Maybe the models forgot how to incorporate radiational cooling into their outputs..

 Still thinking Buffalo metro will see over a foot... And probably some jackpots of near 2'.

We’re at 9° at 7:30pm down in Delaware County but it’s especially impressive to me because there is no snowcover at all. We almost always have at least an inch or two, but there isn’t even a dusting right now.  Pretty impressive temps with exposed earth. 

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7 minutes ago, winter_rules said:

We’re at 9° at 7:30pm down in Delaware County but it’s especially impressive to me because there is no snowcover at all. We almost always have at least an inch or two, but there isn’t even a dusting right now.  Pretty impressive temps with exposed earth. 

Proof that radiational cooling off of frozen dog turds is underestimated.

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3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

NAM stronger and more amped than 18z but still a bit too south for a widespread decent hit. Extrapolated might be good for atleast southern parts of C/E NY.

nam-218-all-east-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-1556800.thumb.png.d8efb251e356e65a0fa9b03a11772589.pngnam-218-all-east-vort500_z500-1556800.thumb.png.76a9416b4b41e7858d0f6423c7f7ac54.png

 

Last two runs...wave off coast is much weaker....which is good...let's see if something has been incorporated into the entire 00z suite.

namconus_ref_frzn_us_fh78_trend.gif

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