tim123 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: It’s the above link I posted nov 2016 I think that was a retrograde low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 20, 2022 Author Share Posted February 20, 2022 Think I’m ganna pass on the sunrise hike, still pretty windy with occasional squalls. Going to start just before daybreak. About 20-25” snow depth where I was today at 2600 feet. Will be up around 4200 ft tomorrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ha. I was thinking the same thing. Another failed lake effect event on NW winds. These NW wind lake effect events behind cold fronts do diddly for Syracuse...or maybe it's just the new theme of snow dying here all the time. Looks like Syracuse city area did even worse, as has been the case, over the past 2 days. Looks like the lake effect has made its way over the new snowbelt of SW Onondaga county. Glad we got some moisture yesterday for a couple of inches because today's snowfall was waaaay less exciting than I thought it was going to be. I think we'll be mostly grass by Monday/Tuesday (Maybe even tomorrow pm). Yeah, the WWA will probably still verify over the hills of S Onondaga and Madison. Kbgm radar probably overshooting some of the bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: It’s the above link I posted nov 2016 Thanks. Did you edit it? I don't remember seeing it the first time. Yeah, I've researched some events, and it seems we need one or two of these big enhancement events (several feet) in a winter to get to that average or above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Yeah, the WWA will probably still verify over the hills of S Onondaga and Madison. I love all the weather resources you share on here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 58 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Gonna be a tough few days. Highs in the upper 50’s. Not sure my 8” pack survives this 3 day onslaught. My brother is traveling to Bozeman on Monday. He’ll be skiing Jackson Hole, Big Sky and Grand Targhee. They haven’t had a lot of snow in January or February. Looks snowless in downtown Jackson: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 March 2017 storm was heavily lake enhanced. 27 inches in roc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: March 2017 storm was heavily lake enhanced. 27 inches in roc. I remember that one. Toronto got flurries while Buffalo, Rochester, and points east of us got hit hard. The Toronto snow shields were up for that one. I was so envious of you guys. It looks like the snow shield is temporarily down this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, Ottawa Blizzard said: I remember that one. Toronto got flurries while Buffalo, Rochester, and points east of us got hit hard. The Toronto snow shields were up for that one. I was so envious of you guys. It looks like the snow shield is temporarily down this winter. Notice the little snow hole over syracuse. Bet syrmax phoned that in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, tim123 said: Notice the little snow hole over syracuse. Bet syrmax phoned that in. Lol...Yeah, I saw that a couple weeks ago when I checked that storm out and rolled my eyes. I wasn't about to post about it on here. haha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 The band reversed track and started moving north a little bit. Starting snowing again about 15 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Icon still north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 GFS still on the southern end of the envelope.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Definitely bumped north though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Starting to get on board with this one. I didn’t want to track until it looked more likely. I can get a little obsessed once I commit to tracking. Maybe some of you have noticed… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 CMC is gonna be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Icon still north Looks a bit better for our neck of the woods. The snowfall map actually looks really good, which is rare for the Icon: 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Starting to get on board with this one. I didn’t want to track until it looked more likely. I can get a little obsessed once I commit to tracking. Maybe some of you have noticed… You're fine. We all seem to have our own interests and quirks in terms of weather weenieism. It's actually quite interesting to see the different personalities and who looks for what type of weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks a bit better for our neck of the woods. The snowfall map actually looks really good, which is rare for the Icon: You're fine. We all seem to have our own interests and quirks in terms of weather weenieism. It's actually quite interesting to see the different personalities and who looks for what type of weather. That’s about as crazy as the ICON gets. It’s really excited. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Definitely bumped north though. Yeah, for sure. It practically doubled the amounts since the 18Z run. It barely had any of NY getting 6 inch amounts, and now the 6 inch line is quite a bit farther north and spread out on the 0Z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 CMC is pretty impressive look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: CMC is pretty impressive look. It still looks good, but definitely weaker than earlier runs. The thing I like the most about this system is the FLATTER, more lateral movement/look. Not another one of these where the trajectory is a sharp diagonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 UK still a widespread hit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: UK still a widespread hit I have a dilemma. I want it to come a little bit more north than this, but that means Buffalo would get more too. Hmph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It still looks good, but definitely weaker than earlier runs. The thing I like the most about this system is the FLATTER, more lateral movement/look. Not another one of these where the trajectory is a sharp diagonal. Yeah. We don’t want that low getting to Jamestown. Seriously 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Thats a sizeable SE shift by the Euro. Mix line stays south of i90 except for Capital District area. Less dry slotting too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Big improvement in the Eps mean. Start locking it in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Decent overnight runs. Still looking for my 2 foot storm though. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Blue Moon said: Preliminary snow totals for Thu-Fri's synoptic system Buffalo: 2 feet + 8-12" LES Rochester: 15" Toofless opioid land: 12" Binghamton: 10" Syracuse: 7" Downstate: 2-3" @TugHillMatt's back porch: dusting That would make sense since I have a balcony. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Beautiful run of the 06Z GFS this morning for the snow-parched areas of the Northeast throughout the long range. Would like to see it bump a bit north (which it is doing) for Friday. My biggest concern, which I think may be starting, is the models start cutting back totals and we end up getting to Friday with a 3 to 6 inch event rather than a 6 to 12 inch one. It's either cutter and amped or flat and weak these days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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