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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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2 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

5” today so far 

 

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

Awesome! I really think you guys do best when high winds take away that downslope crap. 

Yeah, I mentioned that tombo earlier in the winter... the high winds are what helps Lowville get the LES. Pushing it up over the Tug...

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1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

 

Yeah, I mentioned that tombo earlier in the winter... the high winds are what helps Lowville get the LES. Pushing it up over the Tug...

Those are usually death for here, seems like the bands don't have enough residence time prior to being over us...hills S&SE of SizzleCuse usually wring out the moisture.

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1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah and also warm with not as much precipitation on the front end..

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ne (96).png

 

11 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Euro/Eps continue to be a stubborn pos for late week. Until they get on board, cautious optimism only.

Pretty good look on most other models.

10:1 mean (Eps, Gefs, Geps)

1925862756_ezgif-4-e68f7d29af(1).thumb.gif.d75a32e58636efebf7c6bda35fa131c6.gif

Eps members492961173_ecmwf-ensemble-avg-neng-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-5920000(3).thumb.png.c117428223418d0ec057d71b2379396e.png1447045787_ecmwf-ensemble-avg-neng-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-5920000(2).thumb.png.00bd12c5d63d1874ec8cb05ab041fcb9.png

Gefs members

559529943_gfs-ensemble-all-avg-neng-snow_total_multimember_panel-5920000(2).thumb.png.6909715e15a04f156a3e2345c1b0da33.png

Geps members

785628423_cmc-ensemble-all-avg-neng-snow_total_multimember_panel-5920000(1).thumb.png.0534c3b6695c156347065402ae13ee2f.png

 

There is ALWAYS one model/set that has to disagree. :( 

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3 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Those are usually death for here, seems like the bands don't have enough residence time prior to being over us...hills S&SE of SizzleCuse usually wring out the moisture.

There are like 8 out of 10 things that seem to kill snow here. I still continue to question how on earth we average 130 inches. lol

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17 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

There are like 8 out of 10 things that seem to kill snow here. I still continue to question how on earth we average 130 inches. lol

What's left of the band is here. Enough time to add another 0.8" to the totals? Or do we go big and get an actual inch?

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6 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Roc is the largest city in United States with the most snow annually. 

3. Rochester, New York: 102.0 inches

Rochester, some 70 miles east of Buffalo, receives more than 100 inches of snow in a typical winter. Much of it comes in the form of lake-effect snow off Lake Erie to its southwest and Lake Ontario to its north.

2. Erie, Pennsylvania: 104.3 inches

Erie is situated on the immediate shoreline of Lake Erie in northwestern Pennsylvania. Snowbands off this Great Lake vault its average seasonal snowfall to more than 100 inches.

1. Syracuse, New York: 127.8 inches

Syracuse takes home the crown as the snowiest city in America, averaging 127.8 inches each winter. That's just shy of 11 feet of snow, most of which is courtesy of the large body of water to its northwest: Lake Ontario.

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Just now, SyracuseStorm said:

3. Rochester, New York: 102.0 inches

Rochester, some 70 miles east of Buffalo, receives more than 100 inches of snow in a typical winter. Much of it comes in the form of lake-effect snow off Lake Erie to its southwest and Lake Ontario to its north.

2. Erie, Pennsylvania: 104.3 inches

Erie is situated on the immediate shoreline of Lake Erie in northwestern Pennsylvania. Snowbands off this Great Lake vault its average seasonal snowfall to more than 100 inches.

1. Syracuse, New York: 127.8 inches

Syracuse takes home the crown as the snowiest city in America, averaging 127.8 inches each winter. That's just shy of 11 feet of snow, most of which is courtesy of the large body of water to its northwest: Lake Ontario.

I said largest city. Roc is much bigger than Syracuse and erie

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12 minutes ago, tim123 said:

For living in one of the snowiest cities in the country some people down talk every thing. Its not about getting feet of snow all the time. 

Thing is...it HASN'T been one of the snowiest cities for years, Tim. If we weren't 50 to 70 inches below average these past three winters................

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