TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 22 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Euro still saying a track further SE. Not sure how this translates on the surface. Without looking at a map, I'll tell you what it translates to: Snow in Buffalo. Rain in Syracuse. The end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Both TT and COD give 6z/18z freebies, it just takes longer to come out lol TT for example only goes out to HR 72 and in 24 hour increments..COD takes longer but gives Euro kutchie and 6 hr increments up to hr 90.. Actually I don't think it shows Euro 10-1. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Seriously, do these people honestly want torch? I can never tell if I’m just a rube who doesn’t understand their sense of humor?? 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Hah... they're serious. Some people aren't as big of winter weenies as you and me. We want WINTER in winter. I mean there is some sarcasm to it. I cheer for snow from Nov 1st-Mid March. My philosophy is if it isn't going to snow may as well be warm out. Cold/dry is the worst pattern, even Tughill agreed with this. I'm more of an extreme weather fan more than anything else. High winds, tornadoes, hurricanes, volcanoes, blizzards, I love them all almost equally. When most people here disappear from the forum in spring/summer I'm still really active in severe threads around AMX and especially during Hurricane season. The only thing that stands above them all for me is an extreme LES event. Summer is my favorite season though. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: As much as I love my winter, I also want my January Thaw even if it’s in mid February now. Love ice jam chasing on the local creeks when we finally torch after a long cold and snowy stretch. I think Thursday the ice dams break if the GFS is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I mean there is some sarcasm to it. I cheer for snow from Nov 1st-Mid March. My philosophy is if it isn't going to snow mine as well be warm out. Cold/dry is the worst pattern, even Tughill agreed with this. It's equally as bad as a 40 and rain pattern in winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It's equally as bad as a 40 and rain pattern in winter. 40 and rain is worst to me. I'd rather cold and dry if snow cover for winter activities. I'd take 40 and sunny over cold and dry though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Speaking of cold and dry.... I was glad to finally see returns over us and pretty much VIRGA. We just can NOT win the past month and a half. Buffalo gets a cloud and they have a blizzard. We get actual returns over us and it's a flurry every 3 meters. Then, we'll be sure to get HEAVY rains on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: 40 and rain is worst to me. I'd rather cold and dry if snow cover for winter activities. I'd take 40 and sunny over cold and dry though. Agree...as long as dewpoints are low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I like cold and dry IF there is snow cover and NO wind. Otherwise, I agree, it can be miserable. This time of year I don’t get cold. I’m acclimated. I took a hike yesterday at 17F and I was hot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 -9/9 splits for today here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 17 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I like cold and dry IF there is snow cover and NO wind. Otherwise, I agree, it can be miserable. This time of year I don’t get cold. I’m acclimated. I took a hike yesterday at 17F and I was hot. 20s with persistent snows, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: 20s with persistent snows, please. My ideal winter climo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 18 euro.. Only has Kuchera method.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Farther east track means more precip aka rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 GSB Cities The 2021 - 2022 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Buffalo 75.6 70.3 58.6 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Rochester 63.4 69.5 47.8 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Syracuse 47.6 90.0 51.4 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Binghamton 39.1 56.2 82.8 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Albany 17.1 38.5 49.3 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Lake effect band starting to form. Don't think it will be anything too strong, but snowing nicely atm. Seems like americanwx has changed, where you can't post images like before? Options seem limited now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 52 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lake effect band starting to form. Don't think it will be anything too strong, but snowing nicely atm. Seems like americanwx has changed, where you can't post images like before? Options seem limited now? You've been cancelled. Or, maybe delete some of your filespace here? Just a thought. Snowing nicely, small dendrites. Should be good enough for another 0.8" on our march to futility... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Check this out. An ice cutter ship went through the ice this afternoon, follow the line. https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/archives/44646?fbclid=IwAR0uaXOZyQgtUdl2TjkAHUcvr2ksDWRdv90gABWjuFKPZfJ8M63m7_8Bjm0 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Everyone falling inline behind the GFS. Looks like a win. Still have a little time. Not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 This band is toying with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 UKIE actually came in colder. The Canadian is close but headed the wrong way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Well, if 0z GFS is right, we Torch, we rain, we cool then we retorch and we rain some more. At least in CNY and east. 1" tonight, band has fallen off L.O. and dispersing. Looks like this winter is about a wrap. Time to start thinking about planting the garden. Thinking of growing cannabis this year. Bring on Morch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Rare but an avalanche occurred in the ADK a few days ago. AVALANCHE 2-12-22 A Large Avalanche Saturday at Noon in the Adirondack High Peaks on the Angle Slide (formed on the shoulder of Wright Peak in 2011 by Hurricane Irene) carried and completely buried 2 skiers. The D3 Avalanche started on a Northeast Slope at the 3500 foot elevation level and was approximately 100 feet wide at the start but quickly propagated wider and ran for 1500 feet. One skier was buried 1-2 feet below the surface and was able to free himself within 5 minutes. He was able to then locate the second skier (who was completely buried in an inverted position 4-5 feet below the surface) with his avalanche rescue beacon. The first skier proceeded to dig the second skier out with his avalanche rescue shovel. The second skier had been buried between 10 -15 minutes ,had shallow breathing and was not responsive. The second skier then began regular breathing and regained consciousness on his own as his partner continued to dig him out. Both skiers were otherwise uninjured , (had lost 3 buried poles and one buried ski ) and were able to make their way back to the trailhead 3 miles away. Avalanches of this magnitude are rare in the Adirondacks, but they can and will happen, and they can have life threatening results. Avalanches can happen to anyone. These skiers were well prepared, had all the proper gear, and when needed the first skier was able to save the life of the second skier. Luckily , the first skier was buried shallow enough to be able to dig himself out or this incident would have involved 2 fatalities. Avalanches can happen quickly and violently,even to the most experienced with all the proper training and gear......please be careful out there..... Lots of hikers, skiers, and riders on Slides these days....this is just a heads up warning.....if you are going to venture on Slides in the Winter: take an avalanche awareness or higher level course, carry the appropriate avalanche gear,make good decisions.....they were both lucky to walk away from this Skier Triggered Large Avalanche...... 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Blue Moon said: And another factoid- snow fell as far south as Homestead, FL on 1/19/1977, which is the same winter that set the seasonal snowfall record for Buffalo. 1/17/1977 snow was in the air at Freeport in the Bahamas, the only time it has snowed in those islands. The winter of 1976-77 went down as one of the coldest in the east and in fact provoked some talk that we were going into a new ice age. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Beautiful band sinking south off Ontario 2-3" per in that thing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 8 hours ago, Blue Moon said: @BuffaloWeather I notice the winter of 1959-1960 produced record snowfall for Rochester. That winter also set the record in Nashville (38"). Must have been a pretty remarkable winter for much of the U.S. Conversely, the seasonal snowfall record in Binghamton, set in 2016-2017, occurred while much of the Mid-Atlantic recorded very low snow totals for the season. Quite the gradient! 59-60 was a good winter here too. Double digit snowfall in 5 months Nov-March with a great February. 1959-60 0 0 0 T 12.2 14.2 18.3 49.5 19.5 1.9 T 0 115.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 8 hours ago, Blue Moon said: And another factoid- snow fell as far south as Homestead, FL on 1/19/1977, which is the same winter that set the seasonal snowfall record for Buffalo. 1976-1977 was the worst winter in Buffalos history with 200" of snow recorded at the airport, with much more south of the city. It also had the blizzard of 1977 which gave the city its name. 1976-77 0 0 0 0.2 31.3 60.7 68.3 22.7 13.5 2.2 0.5 0 199.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 13 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I mean there is some sarcasm to it. I cheer for snow from Nov 1st-Mid March. My philosophy is if it isn't going to snow may as well be warm out. Cold/dry is the worst pattern, even Tughill agreed with this. I'm more of an extreme weather fan more than anything else. High winds, tornadoes, hurricanes, volcanoes, blizzards, I love them all almost equally. When most people here disappear from the forum in spring/summer I'm still really active in severe threads around AMX and especially during Hurricane season. The only thing that stands above them all for me is an extreme LES event. Summer is my favorite season though. I have to agree for the most part, although I wouldn't want to experience a tornado - I'm a much bigger fan of winter severe weather as opposed to summer severe. Extremes are the way to go though. Ideally, I like at least one 12" snowfall per year, one "zero day" per winter, and one 95 degree day in the summer. I couldn't handle living in a place like Seattle or Vancouver. Not enough variance in the weather, and I really dislike cold rain in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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