tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Way out there but been consistent at time frame. Has this band over rochester for 24 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 31 minutes ago, tim123 said: Way out there but been consistent at time frame. Has this band over rochester for 24 hours. I'd take some of that. Once in a while BGM can score a decent LES event when the flow is just right. Usually just nuisance advisory level, but sometimes a warning level event if there enough moisture and upstream connection and the flow catches the long axis of Cayuga Lake. November 2016 around Thanksgiving was one of the bigger LES events that I can remember around here, though I think that was more of a hybrid synoptic/lake effect event. BGM scored like 27" over a 2+ day period I believe. https://youtu.be/zMExFRU7nNM https://www.weather.gov/bgm/pastWinterNovember212016 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Can you post gfs map of close in for that event like the one for buffalo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Cmc has it again as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: I'd take some of that. Once in a while BGM can score a decent LES event when the flow is just right. Usually just nuisance advisory level, but sometimes a warning level event if there enough moisture and upstream connection and the flow catches the long axis of Cayuga Lake. November 2016 around Thanksgiving was one of the bigger LES events that I can remember around here, though I think that was more of a hybrid synoptic/lake effect event. BGM scored like 27" over a 2+ day period I believe. Rochester got 15 to 20 from that. Almost nothing on lakeshore up near Hamlin. Lake was to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Can you post gfs map of close in for that event like the one for buffalo? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Posted the wrong UK map from 0z last night. It shifted a bit NW from 12z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 GEM has another strong LES event next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEM has another strong LES event next weekend That would line up with the Bills game against the Jets, likely must win to take the division and grab a home wild card spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2022 Author Share Posted January 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: That would line up with the Bills game against the Jets, likely must win to take the division and grab a home wild card spot. I'll be at the game! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Quick look at 00Z GooFuS. Not gonna lie...vomit inducing for much of CNY. Better hope that doesn't play out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Quick look at 00Z GooFuS. Not gonna lie...vomit inducing for much of CNY. Better hope that doesn't play out. I guess that means tonight's Euro run will be the most important of our lives 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Once an outlier... Always an outlier. 16/17 stations within 9/10ths of a degree of each other. The official site.. a full degree higher than the next closest station. KBUF sensor has to be flawed by 1 - 1.5 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Once an outlier... Always an outlier. 16/17 stations within 9/10ths of a degree of each other. The official site.. a full degree higher than the next closest station. KBUF sensor has to be flawed by 1 - 1.5 degrees. Gotta push the global warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Almost all lake snow entire run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Huntsville Alabama getting snow bombed at the moment. Reports of 5 inches in area and still snowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 31 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'll be at the game! Just saw it got flexed to 425? Snow game under the lights! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Euro looks to be a big hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 55 minutes ago, tim123 said: Gotta push the global warming. Sure Tim. The liberals are secretly replacing the digital thermometers and replacing them (at night) with ones made by the Chinese to soften American pride. It all makes sense now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Pretty sweet run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Sure Tim. The liberals are secretly replacing the digital thermometers and replacing them (at night) with ones made by the Chinese to soften American pride. It all makes sense now. Laced with covid too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Lots of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Euro looks a tad nw of 12z, and definitely wetter. Big hit from NE PA to interior NE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Not all that far off. basically mid range and huge outcomes between gfs and euro cmc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I wouldn't be shocked if this goes into ny state. Jamestown here she comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 EPS mean continues to look solid. Still lots of spread though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Alot of good hits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Poached this from another forum. I will take the 977 over burlington vt. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Wow, Tim was active last night. Now all we need is Freak to come back to us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Flakes made it to Pensacola. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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