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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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For mid to late next week. 2 things to watch.

1) that lead clipper wave that scoots to the north. You want as far south as it can go. That is what pulls the cold air down and pushes the baroclinic zone further east.

2) Watch how the northern stream energy interacts with the closed low ejecting out of the baja. Faster they phase, its wagons north. You want to delay that phasing as long as possible. Ideally you want a positive tilted trough that sets up a nice thermoclinic boundary for storms to track along. The push of cold air from clipper prior sets all that up. 

some other things to watch is the orientation of the pacific ridge, further west that is argues for more energy to want to phase into the southwest. Further east, increase psoitive tilted trough and or later phase which would argue for further east track

Also keep an eye on tpv orientation up in canada

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10 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

For mid to late next week. 2 things to watch.

1) that lead clipper wave that scoots to the north. You want as far south as it can go. That is what pulls the cold air down and pushes the baroclinic zone further east.

2) Watch how the northern stream energy interacts with the closed low ejecting out of the baja. Faster they phase, its wagons north. You want to delay that phasing as long as possible. Ideally you want a positive tilted trough that sets up a nice thermoclinic boundary for storms to track along. The push of cold air from clipper prior sets all that up. 

some other things to watch is the orientation of the pacific ridge, further west that is argues for more energy to want to phase into the southwest. Further east, increase psoitive tilted trough and or later phase which would argue for further east track

Also keep an eye on tpv orientation up in canada

TPV meaning Polar Vortex?

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Impressive, most impressive...khhhh phhhh

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-290930-
/O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.220129T0500Z-220130T1000Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Boston, Quincy, Plymouth,
Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, and Vineyard Haven
322 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  18 to 24 inches with localized 30 inches possible. Winds
  gusting as high as 70 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 5 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be extremely difficult to impossible.
  Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Considerable blowing and drifting snow
  along with near white out conditions at times. Snowfall rates of
  2 to 4 inches per hour is possible at times.
  • Weenie 1
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13 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Impressive, most impressive...khhhh phhhh

MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-290930-
/O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.220129T0500Z-220130T1000Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Boston, Quincy, Plymouth,
Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, and Vineyard Haven
322 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
  18 to 24 inches with localized 30 inches possible. Winds
  gusting as high as 70 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern
  Massachusetts.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 5 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be extremely difficult to impossible.
  Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Considerable blowing and drifting snow
  along with near white out conditions at times. Snowfall rates of
  2 to 4 inches per hour is possible at times.

Meh. These Meteorologists. What do they know?  I'd pay 4 million just to be able to take a piss without it hurting.

Signed,

Hyman Roth

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