wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Canadian is pretty much just like the GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Canadian is pretty much just like the GFS.. UK pretty far south 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Will move all over next few days I think. I still favor a more suppressed look. Yeah definitely.. Going to come down to the strength and placement of the Western Atlantic ridge as well as the Strong HP dropping south.. Should have some wintry somewhere in the middle lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Ice to snow or even rain-ice-snow will essentially lock in this snowpack for a long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think thats congrats detriot. Looks like rain/ice/ends as snow here @TugHillMattapproved 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Ice to snow or even rain-ice-snow will essentially lock in this snowpack for a long time. I’m beginning to have that “old fashioned” way it used to be winter feeling. We’ve had snow cover a good majority of January save for a few days. IF this next system stays mostly snow or ice for far WNY we may not lose that cover for some time. And it’s been years since we could say that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Cmc ensembles 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I love the anafrontal setups for big snow/ice, but they totally suck when you're on the warm side!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 14 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: @TugHillMattapproved Yeah its really getting insane whats going on in central NY. Still an anomalous year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah its really getting insane whats going on in central NY. Still an anomalous year. I'm at 45" for Season and believe it or not, 28" in January...roughly normal snowfall in Jan. The nickels and dimes have provided! We need Feb to be like Jan just to reach last year's miserly 76". Forget about the prior year's weaksauce 88"... KSYZle is at 35.8" season and 22.1" for Jan...Average for the Sizzleport is 29.6" in Jan as of 1/28 and 70.2" for season. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 12z eps tightened up and is more concentrated on the GL vs 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: 12z eps tightened up and is more concentrated on the GL vs 0z. Would be nice NOT to have a nail-biter for a change...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 14 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I'm at 45" for Season and believe it or not, 28" in January...roughly normal snowfall in Jan. The nickels and dimes have provided! We need Feb to be like Jan just to reach last year's miserly 76". Forget about the prior year's weaksauce 88"... KSYZle is at 35.8" season and 22.1" for Jan...Average for the Sizzleport is 29.6" in Jan as of 1/28 and 70.2" for season. Yeah thats not terrible. I'm at 59.8" and its definitely felt like winter all of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I'm so sick of this. I love you Western NY guys...but for real...can we just have some SYNOPTIC snowstorms that don't screw us in CNY?!?!?!? So maddening. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 26 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah its really getting insane whats going on in central NY. Still an anomalous year. It's not anomalous anymore when it's the THIRD FREAKIN YEAR in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 39 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I’m beginning to have that “old fashioned” way it used to be winter feeling. We’ve had snow cover a good majority of January save for a few days. IF this next system stays mostly snow or ice for far WNY we may not lose that cover for some time. And it’s been years since we could say that. Local Mets going heavy snow route lol Either way the warmup is gone. 2 straight months of cold and snow was only seen in 2013-2015 winters TWO STORMS...One, well off to the east, misses us this weekend. We could get an intense storm in here later next week with a heavy snow potential. Monitoring, @News4Buffalo WakeUp! Now on CW23 until 10:00 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It's not anomalous anymore when it's the THIRD FREAKIN YEAR in a row. I wonder what changed 3 years ago? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: I wonder what changed 3 years ago? Lol...Title of the Thread continues to hold strong here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Little change as it still looks like we will see a brief reprieve from the cold during this period. Tuesday expect somewhat mild conditions (30s to low 40s) but mainly dry weather. Although, we might see a few snow showers with the warm front tied to the low approaching James Bay. Tuesday evening, its cold front will then approach the Lower Lakes with increasing chances of rain and/or snow showers. After that, there remains a lot of uncertainty where the cold front will hang up and then direct several waves across the eastern Great Lakes. Have leaned on a model blend with p-type as a mix of rain and snow as of right now from Wednesday through Thursday night. A lot will ride on where the 850 hPa thermal gradient sets up and then the track of the sfc lows. Stay tuned! Friday it appears that we will again turn colder as an Arctic air mass filters in for the start of the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 As it stands right now it looks like the potential for a light-moderate event on Sunday/Sunday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm so sick of this. I love you Western NY guys...but for real...can we just have some SYNOPTIC snowstorms that don't screw us in CNY?!?!?!? So maddening. I'd invite you to move here but... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm so sick of this. I love you Western NY guys...but for real...can we just have some SYNOPTIC snowstorms that don't screw us in CNY?!?!?!? So maddening. We need a Miller B. Miller As always screw someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 hour ago, BGM Blizzard said: 12z eps tightened up and is more concentrated on the GL vs 0z. It’s gonna be real f’ing funny when WNY gets a snowstorm while it’s raining on me in Vermont. Real funny. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 The RGEM isn't that great with synoptic. Look at difference between it and NAM. The storm starts tonight. Lets see which one does better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 I just can't believe with all these strong cold fronts and arctic blasts that the WAR will push that far north in between. We can hope it gets beaten down faster or isn't at high in latitude as the models are showing. But, the "curse" argues otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 That's a 1050 arctic HP bearing down, I bet the CF will be more progressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 Is 700RH the primary issue why we wouldn't see more of a lake response on the South Shore the next 24hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Author Share Posted January 28, 2022 GFS lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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