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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Too little, too late. I agree with Buf here. Typical NAM bias. What you see here is likely the western most envelope. Glad I don’t live in Philly or Albany and get excited by this. 

Nah, those of us that live out here have seen this from the NAM time and time again. I haven't invested much time with this one, but someone in Eastern New England should make out very well. 

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Well this about all we got over the next 7-10 days..

The upstream cold front will pass through the area Thursday night,
bringing the next round of snow. There will be initial southwest
flow lake response, although it might take a bit to get going but
should focus some minor accumulating snow northeast of the lakes
later Thursday evening and overnight, especially off Lake Ontario
where several inches will be possible, before the flow turns more
westerly by Friday morning.

Lake snows will gradually wind down during the day Friday even
though colder air will continue to progress southward into the
region. Air mass drying out significantly with the flow turning
northerly as Canadian high pressure builds into the region

snku_acc.us_ne - 2022-01-26T115310.589.png

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8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Well this about all we got over the next 7-10 days..

The upstream cold front will pass through the area Thursday night,
bringing the next round of snow. There will be initial southwest
flow lake response, although it might take a bit to get going but
should focus some minor accumulating snow northeast of the lakes
later Thursday evening and overnight, especially off Lake Ontario
where several inches will be possible, before the flow turns more
westerly by Friday morning.

Lake snows will gradually wind down during the day Friday even
though colder air will continue to progress southward into the
region. Air mass drying out significantly with the flow turning
northerly as Canadian high pressure builds into the region

snku_acc.us_ne - 2022-01-26T115310.589.png

Check out the Synoptic Snow Hole over Syracuse... EVERY SINGLE TIME.

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Just now, TugHillMatt said:

Yikes, looks pretty boring through the end of next week. Hopefully the lake effect keeps providing. 

Looks like the GFS wants to wind up the storm at the end of next week and wipe out our snow cover with rain and mild temperatures. Then the next wave passes over us and gives us mixed precipitation. 

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2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

The model programmers read this forum -> trolling u hard! :lmao:

Well, it's not just the programmers...it's the atmosphere too (see post below.) :lol:

1 minute ago, CNY_WX said:

Looks like the GFS wants to wind up the storm at the end of next week and wipe out our snow cover with rain and mild temperatures. Then the next wave passes over us and gives us mixed precipitation. 

 

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