BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Got more video to sift through later but this one was probably the best with the trees smashing into the bridge deck. Thats awesome. Think it will be going on later this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Euro for late next week.. Obviously things will change between now and then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Thats awesome. Think it will be going on later this afternoon? Maybe… There is another flow slowly coming downstream from West Seneca now so possible it could jam up again. One other neat video to share. This is when the jam first let go. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 30 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Got more video to sift through later but this one was probably the best with the trees smashing into the bridge deck. These videos just don't do it justice. I highly recommend anyone here to check this out if you have the time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 24 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro for late next week.. Obviously things will change between now and then... Doesn’t transfer like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Niagara Falls airport is 38F while Buffalo is 49F Thats a massive spread 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Niagara Falls airport is 38F while Buffalo is 49F Thats a massive spread Pearson is at 34 with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Niagara Falls airport is 38F while Buffalo is 49F Thats a massive spread Spot the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 19 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Pearson is at 34 with rain. Yep. I think I’m looking at 3-6” of snow after the rain. I’m big into international relations so this system is on the back burner. I’m following it a bit but my time is spent following Ukraine-Russia right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Afternoon guidance with a decent shift NW. 12z euro held. But I’m thinking NWS might regret WSW for Niagara and Orleans. Who knows. Temps crashing there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Pretty easy to see storm trajectory from this. Jamestown. As usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Temp down to 37 already in Williamsville. Things are ahead of schedule IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected along with flash freeze potential. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Yates, Seneca, Southern Cayuga, Onondaga, Steuben, Madison and Southern Oneida counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 11 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Strong cold front moves through late tonight with temperatures quickly falling into the 20s. Any wet and untreated roadways and bridges could quickly freeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Definitely had a wind shift to N here and temps dropped from 50 to 42 in 30 minutes (maybe just the cold marine air). Good sign, I hope. On a side note we've only had 0.15" of rain so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Interesting: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Ice pellets currently falling here in northeast Toronto. Will hopefully change to all snow between 6 and 7PM. Thinking 4-6" for Toronto in total. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, vortmax said: Interesting: KBUF down to 36. I think that high end amount has a 70% chance of occurring. That lines up almost identical to the GFS has been showing for about 36 hours now. Williamsville down to 35…we’re right there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 We could see a solid squall line develope along the front Saturday morning.. Models are in surprisingly good agreement lol Small window (4-6hours) of westerly flow behind the front, veering to NW... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Arctic front enters WNY early Saturday morning and then will quickly work from west to east across the region. With BUFKIT profiles showing steep low level lapse rates and sufficient moisture extending through the DGZ(-10C to -20C)...should see a brief period of widespread snow showers along and then briefly behind the front. Winds will also pick up ahead and behind the front with gusts of 40 to 45 mph. With the frontal passage...CAA will then drop 850 hPa down to -18C/-20C over the lakes with increasing over lake instability. Lake snows will then take over...with the best shot at decent accumulations found east of Lake Ontario. Westerly flow of 260-270 will briefly make use of the longer fetch of the lake before flow veers to NW late in the afternoon. That said...flow isn`t all that well aligned with a bit of shear. This will likely limit accumulation but we still could see up 3 to 5 inches across Oswego Co. and the Tug Hill before the shift south. Off lake Erie...lesser amounts can be anticipated with 1 to 3 inches at best. Saturday night...lake snows will focus southeast of the lakes but will weaken and then diminish as we head into Sunday. Could see some accumulations but will be on the light side for counties along the south shore of Lake Ontario. Otherwise...outside of the residual lake snow it will be a largely dry night as sfc high over the Ohio Valley influences the Lower Lakes. Should be the coldest night of this period...lows in the single digits to below zero in spots. Winds fall off quickly in the evening and then become light...so it appears there will not be any wind chill issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We could see a solid squall line develope along the front Saturday morning.. Models are in surprisingly good agreement lol Small window (4-6hours) of westerly flow behind the front, veering to NW... I'll be driving the 90 into the tug on Saturday. Going to plan it out so I get in the best stuff. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 49 minutes ago, vortmax said: Definitely had a wind shift to N here and temps dropped from 50 to 42 in 30 minutes (maybe just the cold marine air). Good sign, I hope. On a side note we've only had 0.15" of rain so far. Got a link? Love this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Got a link? Love this The Wundermap...lol https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap?lat=43.22&lon=-77.32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 R/S line cruising through Toronto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Yeah I know it's kutchie and shame on me lol But several models have this type of look with some wrap around/enhancement early tomorrow morning.. Something I'll be watching for.. Hopefully a few hours of fluff..lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Latest report from Pearson Airport is freezing rain, sleet and snow with the temperature right at freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 5 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Can Binghamton, Albany, and Syracuse just have a snowstorm where we don't suck this season? No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah I know it's kutchie and shame on me lol But several models have this type of look with some wrap around/enhancement early tomorrow morning.. Something I'll be watching for.. Hopefully a few hours of fluff..lol Should be a pretty morning. Imagine the snow will stick to all the trees too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 22 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'll be driving the 90 into the tug on Saturday. Going to plan it out so I get in the best stuff. Only the people on this blog pull for treacherous conditions while traveling… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Caz looks like it has been fully blown out now. Buffalo River on the other hand has a major jam in place from Smith Street back to the area behind Tesla. Two additional jams are lurking just upstream into Kaiser Town area. Could be some flooding problems down in the First Ward tonight if these start shifting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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