rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 WRF nailed it. It catches the sneaky south shore events best. It can over do it too. Hoping to cash in on a couple more tonight followed by a banger later this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 One of the things I’m reminded of this winter was something someone in NJ mentioned: it snows where it wants to. And the tracks are laid early. No science behind this notion but I’ve seen it over and over. BUF, IAG and ROC just happened to fall on the right side this winter (thus far). Syracuse and the southern DAKS fell just SE. Tough to be sure. I’ve been there. I’ll take this side for sure! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 45 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Jealous. I washed up my John Deere after my car on Friday. I'd rather be out moving snow with it than having it all polished up sitting in the garage. 27 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: One of the things I’m reminded of this winter was something someone in NJ mentioned: it snows where it wants to. And the tracks are laid early. No science behind this notion but I’ve seen it over and over. BUF, IAG and ROC just happened to fall on the right side this winter (thus far). Syracuse and the southern DAKS fell just SE. Tough to be sure. I’ve been there. I’ll take this side for sure! Thought the same thing this morning esp if this next storm somehow does snow on that same corridor again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Icon misses us to the se. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 54 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Geez I didn’t get more than a dusting on the west side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, tim123 said: Icon misses us to the se. Lol I would honestly rather have at least one model showing that at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 20 minutes ago, tim123 said: Icon misses us to the se. Lol Oh, I see what you're saying...with that second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 37 minutes ago, tim123 said: Icon misses us to the se. Lol I'd love for that to be accurate but definitely not buying anything close to that far SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: I'd love for that to be accurate but definitely not buying anything close to that far SE. GFS gonna be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: GFS gonna be interesting Going to be nw of 12z. Not as much confluence and stronger wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 50-75 mi nw shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 It’s track is right down the St. Lawrence river valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Delta would approve that track for wind prospects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 We still have 100 hours. Battle lines are drawn. Suppression vs amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 The GFS has been the ugliest. That would be a cutter and then yet another clipper tracking too far north. Perhaps we get a similar setup to what we had last time, with a cutter and then a second wave (akin to what the Icon is showing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Warmest frame. That would probably wipe out what's left of the snowpack across atleast the lower elevations if not all or most of CNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Warmest frame. That would probably wipe out what's left of the snowpack across CNY. I hate Syracuse. Warmest of the Northeast...and probably Maryland and Delaware from looking at that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Seems like the 6Z and 18Z GFS runs cut it far NW and the 12Z and 0Z bring it further SE. GEFS are showing it on the cutter route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 GEFS considerably deeper with wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Local Mets getting on board for another night of meso stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 18z Euro would be nw of 12z for the same reasons as the 18z gfs. Stronger wave and lesser confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Cicero: mood flakes with the moon out; never understood how that is possible; not partially obscured, just OUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 IMG_4937.MOV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, BGM Blizzard said: 18z Euro would be nw of 12z for the same reasons as the 18z gfs. Stronger wave and lesser confluence. Man! Look at that dig! That is on its way to Detroit… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Lotta cutters. 80%? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Neat… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Neat… Oh my! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 28 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Neat… How did you post this? I posted the same thing above but it didn’t come across the same. I saved it as a video and posted it because using copy and paste didn’t seem to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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