mississaugasnow Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Clown time Im honestly over big time storms so sign me up for 3-5" across the GTA and a delay in the pattern change. Sounds weird but delaying a SE ridge by even 7-10 days in mid to late Feb makes a big difference. Also allows us to keep snow pack just a bit longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Huge difference in one run on the Canadian from 12Z to 0Z. Hopefully it's not just a blip and other models continue the SE track. I know chances of it being mostly snow here are rather slim...but perhaps more wintry than just a huge thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Just now, mississaugasnow said: Im honestly over big time storms so sign me up for 3-5" across the GTA and a delay in the pattern change. Sounds weird but delaying a SE ridge by even 7-10 days in mid to late Feb makes a big difference. Also allows us to keep snow pack just a bit longer The only storms that matter are big storms... 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Theres also no such thing as big storms in Toronto, so you should be fine 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The only storms that matter are big storms... It needed to be done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Be careful with those ggem snow maps. It’s counting sleet and zr as snow. Look at the Indiv hrs when it’s sleet it has snow accum piling up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: The only storms that matter are big storms... haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Hasn’t Toronto had two great years now? Obviously, it’s relative. A Toronto winter would have me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: haha We're a go big or go home crowd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Theres also no such thing as big storms in Toronto, so you should be fine I missed the actual big one because I was down in Florida. Theres just something thats changed in the last 5ish years where I switch to spring come mid-late February. I definitely hate warm November-Januarys but couldnt care less about February ideally first half snowy second half thaws out. March its fully go historic or stay warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: We're a go big or go home crowd. 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Hasn’t Toronto had two great years now? Obviously, it’s relative. A Toronto winter would have me: Haha. Ya, I dont think most of this board could handle a normal Toronto winter which is about 40" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: I missed the actual big one because I was down in Florida. Theres just something thats changed in the last 5ish years where I switch to spring come mid-late February. I definitely hate warm November-Januarys but couldnt care less about February ideally first half snowy second half thaws out. March its fully go historic or stay warm I'm the same but I go to Mid March. Also December wasn't a winter month this year. So its only been 40 days of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Be careful with those ggem snow maps. It’s counting sleet and zr as snow. Look at the Indiv hrs when it’s sleet it has snow accum piling up We like our model porn 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 I love a good shellacking in early May. I love that we really only have 4 months where a snowstorm is not possible. Wish we could get that down a couple months though… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I love a good shellacking in early May. I love that we really only have 4 months where a snowstorm is not possible. Wish we could get that down a couple months though… Go hiking in ADK. I once ran into a snowstorm on June 12th and many times see good snow in September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Cool article I found. They've had snow recorded in every month except maybe August? A Memorial Day weekend storm piled three feet of snow on Whiteface in 2013, prompting some people to grab their skis. He pointed to the writing of the explorer Samuel de Champlain, who, after exploring the lake that would eventually bear his name in July 1609, wrote that he saw mountains to the east that were covered in snow. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/08/nyregion/snow-in-june-its-forecast-for-the-adirondacks.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 UK 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2022 Author Share Posted February 13, 2022 Just finished the Blizzard of 1966 slideshow. Can't call me a homer, I did a Central NY storm before all the WNY ones. Really enjoyed doing this one. Love seeing all the old towns in CNY in the 1960s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: It’s almost an exact replica Not even close, similar in WNY getting hit, yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 5 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Huge difference in one run on the Canadian from 12Z to 0Z. Hopefully it's not just a blip and other models continue the SE track. I know chances of it being mostly snow here are rather slim...but perhaps more wintry than just a huge thaw. Don't look at the latest gfs Rough pattern ahead coming up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 That Op Canadian run was a definite outlier compared to rest of the Op models and ensembles... even it's own. GEPS mean actually shifted W at 0z. The latest ensembles are pretty ugly to say the least... even for far W NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Not much overnight. But its dumping out out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 32 minutes ago, tim123 said: Not much overnight. But its dumping out out now. We're S+ here with at least 6" overnight. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 6z is close but no cigar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Irondequoit got several inches over night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Don't look at the latest gfs Rough pattern ahead coming up It was inevitable. I have grown tired of this winter and its games. It takes LOTS to get me to this point: Bring on the warm seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Easily reached advisory criteria, approaching warning. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Snowing nice past couple hours 3 inches since last eve most past couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 We were going to go ski at Snow Ridge today. Then I took the dog out at 0600 and walked on our residual glacier. It feels like it could easily support a 500 pound man. And there's no fresh on top. Time for a good book! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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