wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Still a touch to far west on the ukmet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Light snow here now, down to 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Flurries in Cicero 39 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Can see the high pressure was quicker in sliding it further SE this run If not mistaken, isn’t this an almost IDENTICAL situation as the last storm? We were supposed to torch wed-Thur that next week and as Monday hit we were looking at a snowstorm instead?… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Light snow here now, down to 37. 5 minutes ago, sferic said: Flurries in Cicero 39 degrees Same here. Surprised to see it accumulating a bit on top of the snow and bushes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If not mistaken, isn’t this an almost IDENTICAL situation as the last storm? We were supposed to torch wed-Thur that next week and as Monday hit we were looking at a snowstorm instead?… I was thinking the same thing. Not sure if the outcome will be different though with the indices in the midst of changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If not mistaken, isn’t this an almost IDENTICAL situation as the last storm? We were supposed to torch wed-Thur that next week and as Monday hit we were looking at a snowstorm instead?… Very similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Very similar. We hope. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Very similar. If you look at the 12 z it almost looks to develop a second wave as the front slows down. I wonder what 18z has in store Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Canadian still likes Ontario these next 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: If you look at the 12 z it almost looks to develop a second wave as the front slows down. I wonder what 18z has in store Well its similar in that there is a high pressure pushing in from Canada. I don't see the multiple waves riding along the front like the last system had. There will be a very small area with snowfall, at least what the current guidance shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If not mistaken, isn’t this an almost IDENTICAL situation as the last storm? We were supposed to torch wed-Thur that next week and as Monday hit we were looking at a snowstorm instead?… Yeah it does look fairly similar with a slow/stalled frontal boundary and a wave or multiple waves riding it.. Same kind of backside HP as well as the Atlantic ridge.. This is the upcoming event.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Advisories should be up for entire south shore. Could see this event drop 4 to locally 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Canadian still likes Ontario these next 48 hours So does wrfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If you look at the 12 z it almost looks to develop a second wave as the front slows down. I wonder what 18z has in store One of the Mets on one of the other subs mentioned to be on the lookout for such an outcome. Mentioned another wave could form along the front as it slows down to the SE. Which, is very similar to what we had recently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: So does wrfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: Advisories should be up for entire south shore. Could see this event drop 4 to locally 8 inches. IDK about advisories but it’s a sneaky event. Well aligned winds for south shore. Light winds which is always good. Tonight and tomorrow night look good. I’ll be watching for meso lows. Precip is exploding on the west end of the lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: IDK about advisories but it’s a sneaky event. Well aligned winds for south shore. Light winds which is always good. Tonight and tomorrow night look good. I’ll be watching for meso lows. Precip is exploding on the west end of the lake. Yeah looks like a strong lake response already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Yeah looks like a strong lake response already If this translates to Northern Onondaga I'd be happy ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Huron and gb are gushing. Very strong response. Probally due to recent warmth on surface of lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 What once was looking like no snow for 2 weeks now looking quite promising. Bring it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 On 2/7/2022 at 2:33 PM, tombo82685 said: No, what I’m saying is to keep an eye on that period. I don’t think it’s a done deal cutter. Phasing this winter has been pretty tough this winter as most events have had that stretched h5 pos tilted trough look. I could see that occurring here. On 2/8/2022 at 12:42 PM, tombo82685 said: that day 9/10 setup def favors the kbuf to kart zone again. Fits the phase 2 composite mjo in nina, gradient with se ridge 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 Euro was almost there 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Geesh, Euro has Southern New England getting to near 70 at the end of the week! That would break records. It hit 63 in some places in Mass/Conn today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 We flipped away from the stupid torch winds and have dropped almost 10 degrees this afternoon. Back below freezing again at 31 degrees with decent snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Euro was almost there Quite the improvement over last two big runs. You can see how that HP is really leaned in. This is definitely looking better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Almost looks like a secondary cold front coming thru western ny now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We flipped away from the stupid torch winds and have dropped almost 10 degrees this afternoon. Back below freezing again at 31 degrees with decent snow showers. My snowpack survived our mini torch but is probably down to 2-3 inches. There are some small bare spots in drainage areas but the remaining snow will freeze into an ice sheet tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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