tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 7:52 PM, Blue Moon said: Please tell me you're joking Expand Not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Lake erie almost frozen over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:07 PM, Blue Moon said: Do you need a crash course on what climate change is? JFC Expand Dude he’s a troll who seems to be getting worse every day. Just ignore him. He’s not even worth it. There’s a reason BuffaloWeather put him on the ignore list and I just did the same. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:07 PM, Blue Moon said: Do you need a crash course on what climate change is? JFC Expand We try to avoid discussing/debating (plus it's not "permitted") climate change on subforums. It causes way too much "heated" bantering and division. The only part you're allowed to discuss is the THM effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:07 PM, Blue Moon said: Do you need a crash course on what climate change is? JFC Expand He’s a ‘fu.. your feelings’ redhat . Kick it to the banter page if you need more. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:08 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Dude he’s a troll who seems to be getting worse every day. Just ignore him. He’s not even worth it. There’s a reason BuffaloWeather put him on the ignore list and I just did the same. Expand Any diffrent point of view and your a troll. Lmao you guys kill me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 4:51 PM, wolfie09 said: Not much difference compared to yesterday... Expand Wpc latest update, little bit SE.. Not much change.. Fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 7:37 PM, BGM Blizzard said: Looks good for Buffalo and that's all that matters Expand I think I posted more than some of you posters during your big event last year in Binghamton. I'm not an IMBY poster. I'm just a fan of huge storms, albeit it LES/synoptic. I followed that storm yesterday all day in their thread. But if a big dog LES storm hits, that is the only thing I want IMBY. You'll catch me in the hurricane/tornadic outbreak threads all over AMX posting in spring/summer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:07 PM, Blue Moon said: Do you need a crash course on what climate change is? JFC Expand He doesn't understand the law of thermodynamics. Warmer SSTs off the coast are fueling these strong nor'easters just like they fuel the stronger hurricanes we've had the last few years. Here is a good article about it. https://climate.nasa.gov/ask-nasa-climate/2956/how-climate-change-may-be-impacting-storms-over-earths-tropical-oceans/ The team also saw that for every 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) that SST increased, the number of extreme storms went up by about 21 percent. Based on current climate model projections, the researchers concluded that extreme storms may increase 60 percent by the year 2100. The highest snowfall totals in New England in recent years actually proves global warming, not disprove it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 7:30 PM, 96blizz said: With this type of set up and @tombo82685 commentary - at this range I would rather it be a bit NW than SE. Expand it depends, if it phases this goes nw, nothing to stop it. But of it doesn’t phase as much it will go more progressive and this will push southeast. Key is that phase in the southeast. Would still lean a bit more progressive. Those tpv pieces are tough to phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: I think I posted more than some of you posters during your big event last year. I'm not an IMBY poster. I'm just a fan of huge storms, albeit it LES/synoptic. I followed that storm yesterday all day in their thread. But if a big dog LES storm hits, that is the only thing I want IMBY. You'll catch me in the hurricane/tornadic outbreak threads all over AMX posting in spring/summer. Expand Yep, Im the rare all year long poster. A bit less in the summer but I enjoy big time heat waves almost as much as big time snowstorms. Anyways back to the storm. Its starting to look decent for far WNY/GTHA. Im wondering how/when warnings or advisories become issued. Since it starts late Tuesday night-Friday morning is it one long winter storm warning or a winter weather advisory with a winter storm watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 Last frame of the NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 7:56 PM, tim123 said: Not at all Expand Do you know the difference between climate and weather? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 HWO The potential exists for a long duration winter storm to impact the region Wednesday night into Friday. This system has the potential to bring significant accumulating snow. Details in forecast track and exact amounts are still emerging at this time. A more northern track could also bring the possibility of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:39 PM, BuffaloWeather said: He doesn't understand the law of thermodynamics. Warmer SSTs off the coast are fueling these strong nor'easters just like they fuel the stronger hurricanes we've had the last few years. Here is a good article about it. https://climate.nasa.gov/ask-nasa-climate/2956/how-climate-change-may-be-impacting-storms-over-earths-tropical-oceans/ Expand I understand climate goes thru cycles and patterns that change constantly. Taking 75 years of reading and saying climate change is the same as taking readings from 1 second out of a entire decade. Climate always changing. Up and down. Undersea volcanoes sun spots ocean salinity all contribute. 75 years out of 5 billion come on. Plus the artificial spiking of Temps with changing how readings are taken scews things as well. Oh and the heating and cooling of core the Earth generates it own heat that radiates out from core. I am sure that fluctuates as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 7:17 PM, BGM Blizzard said: Eps shifted nw as one would expect following that Op run. Expand Looks like they are tightening up. The nw fringe didn’t move much. Just losing all those more progressive run makes it seem that way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 The global warming debate will go on for pages, with a potential winter storm not sure its worth it to debate it now lol 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Deterministic guidance the past several runs (days) have been all over the board regarding the potential storm beginning Wednesday night through Thursday night time frame. Guidance Update... The 30/12Z run of the ECMWF has again trended further NW and is now more in line with the GFS and Canadian-NH. Would still like too see some run to run consistency but a somewhat more clearer picture is starting to evolve. Again...a lot will ride on the strength of the sfc high to our northwest and the eventual push of the 850 hPa thermal boundary (cold front) into and across the region. The next key will be where it stalls or sets up which will then provide a path for several waves of low pressure to track along. This boundary will also determine p-type and snowfall amounts...which could be significant depending on which side of the boundary you reside. Right now...its looking like an all snow event for all of our CWA. The question is just how much...too early to say at this point. Again...just want to hammer one "big" point home with this update. As was previously stated...guidance has been all over the board. Its only been the 30/12Z guidance that has been a little bit more consistent. Still lots of time for things to change but will start with adding this potential storm in the HWO. stay tuned! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: I think I posted more than some of you posters during your big event last year in Binghamton. I'm not an IMBY poster. I'm just a fan of huge storms, albeit it LES/synoptic. I followed that storm yesterday all day in their thread. But if a big dog LES storm hits, that is the only thing I want IMBY. You'll catch me in the hurricane/tornadic outbreak threads all over AMX posting in spring/summer. Expand I'm just busting your chops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:46 PM, tombo82685 said: Looks like they are tightening up. The nw fringe didn’t move much. Just losing all those more progressive run makes it seem that way Expand Yeah I meant the mean shifted. With more nw solutions and less se solutions the mean will shift to the nw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Icon went SE once again fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 8:48 PM, wolfie09 said: Deterministic guidance the past several runs (days) have been all over the board regarding the potential storm beginning Wednesday night through Thursday night time frame. Guidance Update... The 30/12Z run of the ECMWF has again trended further NW and is now more in line with the GFS and Canadian-NH. Would still like too see some run to run consistency but a somewhat more clearer picture is starting to evolve. Again...a lot will ride on the strength of the sfc high to our northwest and the eventual push of the 850 hPa thermal boundary (cold front) into and across the region. The next key will be where it stalls or sets up which will then provide a path for several waves of low pressure to track along. This boundary will also determine p-type and snowfall amounts...which could be significant depending on which side of the boundary you reside. Right now...its looking like an all snow event for all of our CWA. The question is just how much...too early to say at this point. Again...just want to hammer one "big" point home with this update. As was previously stated...guidance has been all over the board. Its only been the 30/12Z guidance that has been a little bit more consistent. Still lots of time for things to change but will start with adding this potential storm in the HWO. stay tuned! Expand This is music to my ears. “All snow for entire CWA” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 9:19 PM, Blue Moon said: It's not that you have a "diffrent" point of view, it's that "your" willfully ignorant. Anyhow, that's enough consternation on my end. My patience for people like this is running out. Expand Your wilfully lacking critical thinking skills 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Inline with Toms thinking of BGM on the second wave. I like it. Spread the wealth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 9:30 PM, rochesterdave said: Inline with Toms thinking of BGM on the second wave. I like it. Spread the wealth. Expand Almost like I made this map in my garage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Decent job showing the enhancement possibilities from Buf-SYR on a more suppressed track. It would be such a relief to not sweat P-type issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 The THM Effect. I heard it’s being added to meteorology textbooks as we speak. On 1/30/2022 at 8:15 PM, TugHillMatt said: We try to avoid discussing/debating (plus it's not "permitted") climate change on subforums. It causes way too much "heated" bantering and division. The only part you're allowed to discuss is the THM effect. Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 9:33 PM, Ericjcrash said: Almost like I made this map in my garage. Expand Amounts drop off fast south to north over Montgomery County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 On 1/30/2022 at 9:33 PM, rochesterdave said: Decent job showing the enhancement possibilities from Buf-SYR on a more suppressed track. It would be such a relief to not sweat P-type issues. Expand For sure. Just need it to hold and not have that low over cape Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now