wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: I mean… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 GFS further SE, but not quite as much as Canadian/Euro 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 29" in Toledo Ohio 10:1. Going to hard sell that. That would be an all timer for them lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 That's multiple consecutive SE shift by the Op. Gotta imagine the gefs will start moving SE this run. Verbatim, lots of mixed precip with that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS further SE, but not quite as much as Canadian/Euro its coming around give it some time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 GEM is carbon copy of GFS. Would be a massive hit, maybe slightly further SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEM is carbon copy of GFS. Would be a massive hit, maybe slightly further SE? thats a good bit further southeast. gfs has low going into pitt. gem would be towards i95 or just west of there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: thats a good bit further southeast. gfs has low going into pitt. gem would be towards i95 or just west of there yup, goes right over nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 lol the SE shift can stop anytime. Before you know it it will be another coastal storm and were cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 GFS trying for a phased storm around 200 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: lol the SE shift can stop anytime. Before you know it it will be another coastal storm and were cold and dry 2 wave idea IMO, last wave is bgm on south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: thats a good bit further southeast. gfs has low going into pitt. gem would be towards i95 or just west of there Couple more runs and its an open wave with 2-4" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Couple more runs and its an open wave with 2-4" lol that final wave I don't think os for us. 2 waves. First is ours, second is bgm and maybe i95. Unless this full on phases with southern stream disturbance, which I don't think it will, that cold will press bndry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Gefs coming in SE of the 12/18z runs and juiced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: that final wave I don't think os for us. 2 waves. First is ours, second is bgm and maybe i95. Unless this full on phases with southern stream disturbance, which I don't think it will, that cold will press bndry So, again...you're thinking 1st one is Buffalo to Watertown...2nd one is south of the NY/PA border...and this area is the screw zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: So, again...you're thinking 1st one is Buffalo to Watertown...2nd one is south of the NY/PA border...and this area is the screw zone? No I think you get in on 1st wave too. 2nd one you may get grazed with but may be south of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 UK 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: UK haha great now everyone from the NE/Mid Atlantic to Kansas City/Chicago is in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: UK Such a terrible model. Remember when it had our storm over PA and jackpot was cleveland to toronto? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just posting in the lakes sub and truthfully wouldn't be upset if this ends up being a run of the mill storm for GTA/WNY of 3-6". A few days ago I thought I was about to lose the entire snowpack and torch with upper 40 to upper 50s. I will be a bit sour if we get nothing but a dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Well, 3 to 5 inches would still be the biggest synoptic snowfall this area has seen this season........ 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEM is carbon copy of GFS. Would be a massive hit, maybe slightly further SE? you were right on the ggem, I didn't refresh timestamp, the ggem is like the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: you were right on the ggem, I didn't refresh timestamp, the ggem is like the gfs The storm itself can go pretty far SE and have us still get hit hard. Since its so elongated the heaviest snowfall is pretty far NW. It never really closes off like our last one did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 Give me the GFS/GEM, no weak sauce supressed like Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The storm itself can go pretty far SE and have us still get hit hard. Since its so elongated the heaviest snowfall is pretty far NW. It never really closes off like our last one did. 1043 over Ontario. Such a shift from a few days ago. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Give me the GFS/GEM, no weak sauce supressed like Euro. Sleet storm? No thanks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2022 Author Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: 1043 over Ontario. Such a shift from a few days ago. Love it. It's not really that far out there either. The storm starts later Weds afternoon, main part of storm hits on Thursday. Obviously a lot of changes coming next few days. Should have a pretty good idea by Monday nights runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Rarely does a system have that wide and long of a band of sleet. Skeptical. Let that Cold, dense air work its way into this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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