BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Didn’t have the wind either. Watching the action on the coast is crazy. I wish I could teleport there right now, amazing~! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Sub_Zero said: 1998, I remember it well. How bad was it up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Didn’t have the wind either. Watching the action on the coast is crazy. I think people forget the storms we get here to east of Lake Erie, remember this one 3 years ago? https://www.facebook.com/AccuWeather/videos/252000642360948 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 I'm trying to figure out where I was for that storm lol That video is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Euro going to be amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Euro going to be amped Have to see if piece of tpv splits off and phases down in s/w in the sw. If it doesn’t would be positive tilted trough. If it does look for the ice or rain threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: The 1998 ice storm brought down almost the entire electrical grid in the north country. This led to farmers having to milk their cows by hand then dumping the milk since they couldn’t get it picked up. So just remember how destructive these storms can be. The same can be said of hurricanes and tornadoes but posters on here chase them from all over the country. We don't control the weather, it just happens. The October snowstorm of 2006 took down 70% of the trees in Buffalo and we didn't have power for 2 weeks, but you wouldn't see anyone on here posting about hoping for less snow for that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Have to see if piece of tpv splits off and phases down in s/w in the sw. If it doesn’t would be positive tilted trough. If it does look for the ice or rain threat Looks like tpv is out running it, so probably door number 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: Looks like tpv is out running it, so probably door number 1 Definitely further NW by 50-75 miles or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 That high really pushing now at hour 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Definitely further NW by 50-75 miles or so. It’s more progressive. That first part is just frontal precip. Main wave is south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Cuse to bgm ftw this run? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, tombo82685 said: It’s more progressive. That first part is just frontal precip. Main wave is south Wow you're right! looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Precip comes in two waves? First rain. Second snow. Or dry. IDK. Complicated for sure. If the main LP rides the first, like GFS, we screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Wow you're right! looks good. You can see it. The tpv energy didn’t dive into the south. It stayed north elongating the trough for more positive tilt. Pushes thermal bndry further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 We could all win? Better than 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Cuse to bgm ftw this run? This whole setup looks like a thread the needle job and whoever gets the goods should feel very fortunate. Very delicate balance between a semi-cutter and flatter more suppressed wave. I'd expect alot of volatility in the models for at least a few days until all these different players get sorted out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Precip comes in two waves? First rain. Second snow. Or dry. IDK. Complicated for sure. If the main LP rides the first, like GFS, we screwed. Yea gfs puts all its money in phasing the two. Not sure I buy that. Those tpv pieces of energy are tough to phase due to how fast they move. Timing has to be just right. I’m betting more progressive imo right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: This whole setup looks like a thread the needle job and whoever gets the goods should feel fortunate. Very delicate balance between a semi-cutter and flatter more suppressed wave. I'd expect alot of volatility in the models for a few days at least until all these different players get sorted out. Yup. That’s how these anafrontal waves work. Thin ribbon of success Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: We could all win? Better than 0z. Not much of a storm on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: This whole setup looks like a thread the needle job and whoever gets the goods should feel very fortunate. Very delicate balance between a semi-cutter and flatter more suppressed wave. I'd expect alot of volatility in the models for a few days at least until all these different players get sorted out. My emotional health isn’t up for it. Ski trip already stressful enough. Why does it feel we are always threading the needle. I’m getting on the clipper bandwagon. Give me 2-4” or nothing instead of these volatile synoptic things. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Not much of a storm on euro I don’t care. As long as it’s not an epic washout or ice. It would favor a ton of enhancement along the south shore with that NE wind. So you could get your Kuchera fix. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, tim123 said: Not much of a storm on euro You get 6” of snow???? Bun him. If that were lake effect we would have 20 Rochester airport photos showing the snow from you 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Lol. It's either north and Cuse rains or it's south and we downslope. Always something to minimize amounts. Canadian, please. "Ok" on Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just a guess but I would think that frontal precip trends south. That brings main precip to kbuf to kart then 2nd wave goes further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 We want a blend to get a good storm here the Euro has 1/3 of QPF the GFS has. I'd rather have that ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 50 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Didn’t have the wind either. Watching the action on the coast is crazy. Thinking this is almost a Mike Seidel moment...with that pickup cruising past. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Just a guess but I would think that frontal precip trends south. That brings main precip to kbuf to kart then 2nd wave goes further south So you're going with closer to a Ukie look with us in between the best of both systems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol. It's either north and Cuse rains or it's south and we downslope. Always something to minimize amounts. Canadian, please. "Ok" on Euro. I don't think it's much downsloping, low level winds are N/NW not NE..I think it's more we just miss the heaviest off to the south with the"main" wave.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 We have agreement! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now