Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/28/2022 at 6:42 PM, BuffaloWeather said: I think thats congrats detriot. Looks like rain/ice/ends as snow here Expand Wow...another 17" for Toronto on top of what we already have. The city won't know where to put all the stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 @TugHillMatt @Syrmax It has commenced; hopefully the start of something big 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 I know it's been a historically poor winter when my 1" from New England's blizzard tomorrow interests me. What a beast that's going to be out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 12:51 AM, sferic said: @TugHillMatt @Syrmax It has commenced; hopefully the start of something big Expand It will. Even some of the shaky 18Z models have LI getting 12-18" or maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 12:44 AM, Ottawa Blizzard said: Wow...another 17" for Toronto on top of what we already have. The city won't know where to put all the stuff. Expand Exactly why we need that Torch! The people cry out for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 12:55 AM, Syrmax said: It will. Even some of the shaky 18Z models have LI getting 12-18" or maybe more. Expand Trend west continues too Worth the drive ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 12:58 AM, sferic said: Trend west continues too Worth the drive ! Expand You are golden. What part of LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 For mid to late next week. 2 things to watch. 1) that lead clipper wave that scoots to the north. You want as far south as it can go. That is what pulls the cold air down and pushes the baroclinic zone further east. 2) Watch how the northern stream energy interacts with the closed low ejecting out of the baja. Faster they phase, its wagons north. You want to delay that phasing as long as possible. Ideally you want a positive tilted trough that sets up a nice thermoclinic boundary for storms to track along. The push of cold air from clipper prior sets all that up. some other things to watch is the orientation of the pacific ridge, further west that is argues for more energy to want to phase into the southwest. Further east, increase psoitive tilted trough and or later phase which would argue for further east track Also keep an eye on tpv orientation up in canada 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:05 AM, rochesterdave said: You are golden. What part of LI? Expand Lynbrook a few miles NE of JFK in Lynbrook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:16 AM, tombo82685 said: For mid to late next week. 2 things to watch. 1) that lead clipper wave that scoots to the north. You want as far south as it can go. That is what pulls the cold air down and pushes the baroclinic zone further east. 2) Watch how the northern stream energy interacts with the closed low ejecting out of the baja. Faster they phase, its wagons north. You want to delay that phasing as long as possible. Ideally you want a positive tilted trough that sets up a nice thermoclinic boundary for storms to track along. The push of cold air from clipper prior sets all that up. some other things to watch is the orientation of the pacific ridge, further west that is argues for more energy to want to phase into the southwest. Further east, increase psoitive tilted trough and or later phase which would argue for further east track Also keep an eye on tpv orientation up in canada Expand TPV meaning Polar Vortex? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:17 AM, sferic said: Lynbrook a few miles NE of JFK in Lynbrook Expand Ok. So pretty far west. Hopefully all this online noise about this initiating west bears out. Usually it’s just wishful thinking. One thing is for sure- you’ll get more snow than any of us. 12” has to be a lock? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:31 AM, rochesterdave said: Ok. So pretty far west. Hopefully all this online noise about this initiating west bears out. Usually it’s just wishful thinking. One thing is for sure- you’ll get more snow than any of us. 12” has to be a lock? Expand I'd say 12 inches is a given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:39 AM, sferic said: I'd say 12 inches is a given Expand Eh, hopefully. You'll probably do well but Suffolk is locked and loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 2:29 AM, Ericjcrash said: Eh, hopefully. You'll probably do well but Suffolk is locked and loaded. Expand And that is what is exciting about this! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 2:43 AM, sferic said: And that is what is exciting about this! Expand Its NOWCAST time for you guys! Best of luck. Steal ALL The Snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 1:27 AM, Syrmax said: TPV meaning Polar Vortex? Expand Tropospheric pv, that is whats in central canada. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 2:48 AM, Syrmax said: Its NOWCAST time for you guys! Best of luck. Steal ALL The Snow! Expand I'm sure us folks in Onondaga will make up big time february into march, just a feeling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Impressive, most impressive...khhhh phhhh MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-290930- /O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.220129T0500Z-220130T1000Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA- Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Boston, Quincy, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, and Vineyard Haven 322 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 18 to 24 inches with localized 30 inches possible. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern Massachusetts. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 5 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be extremely difficult to impossible. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Considerable blowing and drifting snow along with near white out conditions at times. Snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour is possible at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Icon big ice storm for mid week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 3:41 AM, vortmax said: Impressive, most impressive...khhhh phhhh MAZ007-015-016-019-022-023-290930- /O.CON.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.220129T0500Z-220130T1000Z/ Eastern Essex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA- Eastern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA- Including the cities of Gloucester, Boston, Quincy, Plymouth, Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, and Vineyard Haven 322 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 18 to 24 inches with localized 30 inches possible. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph. * WHERE...Portions of eastern, northeastern and southeastern Massachusetts. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 5 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be extremely difficult to impossible. Very strong winds could cause extensive tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Considerable blowing and drifting snow along with near white out conditions at times. Snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour is possible at times. Expand Meh. These Meteorologists. What do they know? I'd pay 4 million just to be able to take a piss without it hurting. Signed, Hyman Roth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 2:52 AM, tombo82685 said: Tropospheric pv, that is whats in central canada. Expand Thanks. Was unsure about the T. Sounds more Sciency than just PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Gfs looks to be big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 That's a cool looking storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Was just going to post that. Overrunning monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 4:13 AM, BuffaloWeather said: That's a cool looking storm Expand Snow from the Canadian maritimes to Missouri! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 4:13 AM, BuffaloWeather said: That's a cool looking storm Expand sign me up for something like that. Ice storm/sleet in Texas, winter storm for Missouri-WNY/NNY and an ice storm for southern tier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Spitting out some unbelievable amounts. A true weeny run. Sweet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Next week though is definitely giving out some big ice storm potential. Big time weenie forecast but I wouldnt mind a few hours of freezing rain at the beginning, followed by heavy snow 6+ inches and gusty winds. It would almost guarantee that the snowpack is sticking around for most of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 On 1/29/2022 at 4:20 AM, rochesterdave said: Spitting out some unbelievable amounts. A true weeny run. Sweet Expand How much? haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Author Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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