sferic Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: NYC and at least western LI will definitely need some ticks to get into the game at this stage but up here we need some huge shifts Which as we know happens, remember March 2017 I think and that low which dumped 2 feet plus in the Catskills originally had NYC in its crosshairs but low kept nudging west and west on each subsequent run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro is less amped. That's a wrap here and maybe for a Queens trip too. Need west and need it now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Euro is less amped. That's a wrap here and maybe for a Queens trip too. Need west and need it now lol. Huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Huh. While it definitely is east of 0z early on it seemed less amped. Not the trend I needed IMBY but Queens run looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Euro did move east of 0z a bit with the track, but the precip shield extended further nw this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 SE Mass and Delmarva absolutely blasted. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Euro did move east of 0z a bit with the track, but the precip shield extended further nw this run. As you'd think so. But maybe being so wound up is keeping the shield relatively tight? See Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Euro did move east of 0z a bit with the track, but the precip shield extended further nw this run. Yeah, hammers ALB pretty good, but quick cutoff N and W of there. That's the solution I'd be used to from the late 00's through the mid-10's where the Catskills through the Berks get hammered with the secondary band while we deal with fairy dust to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 48 hour precip and 10:1 snow. Don't have a 48hr Kuchera so that captures some pre-storm snow before 0z Saturday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: I do feel like te pattern flip will stick starting next week, and we will be dealing with above normal temps for at least 2 weeks, and then looking at March with not much to show for in 12Z Euro very juicy for NYC forum as well as obv NE. I think I'm gonna chase this but not sure where yet. Euro pounds Litchfield County in CT, which is a nice area and 90 mins less than SE CT for a drive. Boston another possibility. One of my friends is already assigned to work storm duty Sat night so that option looks iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Don't worry guys we'll get em in 14 days.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 48 hour precip and 10:1 snow. Don't have a 48hr Kuchera so that captures some pre-storm snow before 0z Saturday. 40mi NW and I'd be ok with it. Brutal cutoff over me. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That little red weenie in the Catskills points right at my house. Can we extend (grow?) that thing by a couple of counties? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 12Z Euro very juicy for NYC forum as well as obv NE. I think I'm gonna chase this but not sure where yet. Euro pounds Litchfield County in CT, which is a nice area and 90 mins less than SE CT for a drive. Boston another possibility. One of my friends is already assigned to work storm duty Sat night so that option looks iffy. I live down there (here) so I am hopeful for something. I want to go to my VT camp but a) that may not be the jack, b) if I leave my wife to deal with 20 inches of snow, she will change the locks and arm herself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 If Cleveland did it, we can too..................right? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankees102110 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: 40mi NW and I'd be ok with it. Brutal cutoff over me. Reminds me of 12/26/10 storm with that cut off, hated that storm. Albany on s+e got a foot plus while we sniffed cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: If Cleveland did it, we can too..................right? Drew Carey sends his blessing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just now, yankees102110 said: Reminds me of 12/26/10 storm with that cut off, hated that storm. Albany on s+e got a foot plus while we sniffed cirrus. Well, I was on the coast for that. In my top 5 all time. But yeah, super sharp cutoff. Pray for a west trend, hope for a broadening of shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Drew Carey sends his blessing. Lol...really, it's time for Syracuse down to Binghamton and over to Albany down to NYC to get clobbered. It's been way too long. We will probably be sniffing flurries yet again up here. Odds of you getting effects are much higher, obviously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 29 minutes ago, Stash said: Yeah, hammers ALB pretty good, but quick cutoff N and W of there. That's the solution I'd be used to from the late 00's through the mid-10's where the Catskills through the Berks get hammered with the secondary band while we deal with fairy dust to the NW. Where exactly are you again? I forget. Definitely rather be closer to Albany for this but it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Boy, that's a sharp cutoff for that weekend system! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Where exactly are you again? I forget. Definitely rather be closer to Albany for this but it is what it is. Ballston Lake area. It's a hamlet a few miles S/SW of Saratoga Springs and about 20-25 miles N/NW of Albany. From the Amsterdam area, probably about 20 miles east as the crow flies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMikeWx Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Lets see if the GFS is right once again or if the Euro will take the cake. Honestly a 30-50 mile shift west on that Euro map and a lot more people are in business..but I fear the GFS and its formidable accuracy. Nonetheless when I get home in Middletown we should have anohter 8-10 or 12 on the ground maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol...really, it's time for Syracuse down to Binghamton and over to Albany down to NYC to get clobbered. It's been way too long. We will probably be sniffing flurries yet again up here. Odds of you getting effects are much higher, obviously. This storm's gone for CNY. ENY has a shot at 6+. We will have to be content with our daily dose of 'eat your peas' T-2" snowfalls for the foreseeable future (except for the obligatory 3, 4 day torch that melts it all). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Stash said: Ballston Lake area. It's a hamlet a few miles S/SW of Saratoga Springs and about 20-25 miles N/NW of Albany. From the Amsterdam area, probably about 20 miles east as the crow flies. Ah nice area. I'd take those 20mi for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 Just looked outside and we ended up getting 4" of powder here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 EPS mean basically same as 6z, just a very slight nudge W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I know it’s a pipe dream and I am keeping it in context but this is still 100 hrs out. There are several pieces of energy involved. I don’t think you can COMPLETELY rule out a scenario where this comes west 100-200 miles. Certainly CNY is still in the realm of possibilities. Same as a complete OTS miss is possible. Like Matt said, CLE didn’t think they had a chance in hell….Thursday 12z would be when the models start being really accurate. But they do seem to be locked in with a Boston Special as of now. I’ll still be watching. Of course. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 13 minutes ago, Syrmax said: This storm's gone for CNY. ENY has a shot at 6+. We will have to be content with our daily dose of 'eat your peas' T-2" snowfalls for the foreseeable future (except for the obligatory 3, 4 day torch that melts it all). I am absolutely puzzled by the synoptic drought CNY has been in the past several years. Every system has a way of screwing us. Perhaps Albany can get several feet this weekend and then we'll be on the bottom of the 5 Upstate cities. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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