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Upstate/Eastern New York-Pattern Change Vs Tughill Curse?


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  On 1/24/2022 at 9:16 PM, Syrmax said:

Highly recommend this book for weenies interested in synoptic of EC storms. There is a Vol.II also that has extensive nomographs of many storms.  Always like to break it out in winter.

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Has anyone read the new book called Mighty Storms of New England by Eric. P. Fisher?

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  On 1/24/2022 at 9:07 PM, tim123 said:

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18Z CMC is a best case for ENY and CNY. The slp more or less stalls over or just south of LI/SNE, maybe a bit of a cyclonic loop indicated from about 108-120 hrs as cyclone rapidly deepens.  There is a HP to the north, 1032 mb initially near James Bay and it doesn't exactly run away, slides a bit ENE towards NWF and actually strengthens a few mb by end of 120hrs.  Dunno if it's right and didn't look at upper levels. The H500 energy is probably synced up better on this CMC run than other model runs, pulling the slp closer to coast.

No idea if it's correct of course.

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