tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:05 AM, Syrmax said: Correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the NAM out beyond say...12hrs considered #DogTurd? Expand FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:05 AM, Syrmax said: Correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the NAM out beyond say...24-48 hrs considered #DogTurd? Expand Only if it shows something unfavorable 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Still work to do, but atleast the GFS doesn't look like a corpse this run. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:01 AM, LakeEffectKing said: Big change! Expand Headed for Jamestown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Definitely quite a difference in the placement of that High Pressure. With it showing it in Kansas, the ridge over the Atlantic is closer and a bit sharper to the coast. It wouldn't take much to direct this on a nice path Northeast along the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Major nw shift on GEFS. Not surprising given how far east it was. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Crickets as everybody waits for that 84 hr. Canadian run... Ope, there it is.. smh... Oh, Canadaaaaaaaaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:20 AM, TugHillMatt said: Headed for Jamestown. Expand Or Bermuda... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Seems like the GEFS has it as a bit of a late bloomer so that New England gets the brunt of the best snows. That's alright...we can work with that. Even with that scenario. we can get some nice lake enhanced snows. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:38 AM, Syrmax said: Or Bermuda... Expand When does your plane depart? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Although this is the Canadian and it's further out to sea, it is showing what I was talking about with lake enhancement. @sferic, this is a possible setup that can bring our area some decent snows. If you look at the GEFS as well, you can see them sort of showing it a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:48 AM, TugHillMatt said: Although this is the Canadian and it's further out to sea, it is showing what I was talking about with lake enhancement. @sferic, this is a possible setup that can bring our area some decent snows. If you look at the GEFS as well, you can see them sort of showing it a bit. Expand Thank you Matt! I see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 UK is still a complete miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Yeah, it's getting there though. Seeing the NAM and GFS "sort of" jumping on board...and the Canadian waffling around but still having something...and the Euro...and the Ensembles all showing something, I think our chances are increasing for at least a couple inches of snow. That will be from a combo. of some synoptic and lake involvement. If development happens sooner and further south, and it works its way up the coast, we have that small possibility of a good one. This is probably our best opportunity area-wide of the season so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2022 Author Share Posted January 4, 2022 GEFS GEF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 4:40 AM, TugHillMatt said: When does your plane depart? Expand You gotta go south to the snow belts of VA, TN and Alabama for the good snowstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 5:02 AM, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS GEF Expand Several nice hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 What a change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 5:25 AM, rochesterdave said: What a change Expand And this thing isn't even fully onshore yet for another ~30 hours or so. Anything can happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 5:28 AM, BGM Blizzard said: And this thing isn't even fully onshore yet for another ~30 hours or so. Anything can happen. Expand Cutter! Wouldn't that be a hoot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Refresh, refresh, refresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 S/w a little slower and maybe a little more organized thru H51 on H500. Hopefully that yields a better solution downstream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 On 1/4/2022 at 5:58 AM, rochesterdave said: Refresh, refresh, refresh. Expand I wouldn't get too invested in this till Thurs 00Z runs. Anything past h48 is unreliable for details. Unless it's a Cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Blah, not going to be any better than 18z run, maybe tad more south if anything. Still time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Noticeably SE from 18z run and weaker. Shitty run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Just when the GFS gets your hopes up the Euro says not in my house. Where did that jump to off the coast between hours 72 and 78 come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 Another snowstorm for Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 4, 2022 Share Posted January 4, 2022 This trend continues they'll be a wwa for Orlando in the not too distant future 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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